Updated

13 November 2026

Football predictions today

Today's fixtures include 42 matches, with the most notable being Moldova vs Kazakhstan in the UEFA Nations League, where we publish Kazakhstan at 42% compared to the market's 33%, giving an edge of +8.5 percentage points. This analysis is based on xG-based team ratings blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds. However, factors like player injuries or last-minute changes could affect the outcome, making predictions uncertain.

Top pick today

Moldova vs Kazakhstan

UEFA Nations League ·

Our pick
Kazakhstan to win
Our prob.
42%
Market prob.
33%
Edge
+8%
Best odds
3.00
Matches today 42 across 12 competitions
Competitions 12 with fixtures today
Value picks 4 edge ≥ 2% over the market
High confidence 0 both teams xG-backed
Average edge +5.5% across value picks

Top opportunities

Largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live

All value bets
High edgeC

Burgos to win

Leganes vs Burgos · Segunda División ·

Edge+6% Our prob37% Best odds3.18
Full prediction
High edgeC

Iceland to win

Bulgaria vs Iceland · UEFA Nations League ·

Edge+5% Our prob57% Best odds1.90
Full prediction
ValueC

Puerto Rico to win

Puerto Rico vs Dominica · CONCACAF Nations League ·

Edge+2% Our prob79% Best odds1.22
Full prediction

Match explorer

45 fixtures today, 3 already played — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures today with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Prykarpattia vs Kolos Kovalivka IIPersha LigaC Persha Liga PrykarpattiaOur prob 54%Best odds 1.65 -2% 54% 56% C 1.65
Comoros vs CongoAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ComorosOur prob 52%Best odds 1.86 +1% 52% 51% C 1.86
Mozambique vs EthiopiaAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification MozambiqueOur prob 54%Best odds 1.62 -4% 54% 57% C 1.62
Zambia vs BurundiAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ZambiaOur prob 49%Best odds 1.67 -7% 49% 57% C 1.67
Jezero vs Buducnost PodgoricaMontenegro First LeagueC Montenegro First League Buducnost PodgoricaOur prob 36%Best odds 2.50 -1% 36% 37% C 2.50
Burkina Faso vs MauritaniaAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Burkina FasoOur prob 61%Best odds 1.59 +2% 61% 59% C 1.59
Cape Verde Islands vs LiberiaAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Cape Verde IslandsOur prob 70%Best odds 1.28 -6% 70% 76% C 1.28
Gabon vs LesothoAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification GabonOur prob 72%Best odds 1.30 -4% 72% 76% C 1.30
Nigeria vs TanzaniaAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification NigeriaOur prob 77%Best odds 1.22 -3% 77% 79% C 1.22
South Africa vs KenyaAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification South AfricaOur prob 70%Best odds 1.31 -3% 70% 73% C 1.31
Tunisia vs LibyaAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification TunisiaOur prob 62%Best odds 1.42 -6% 62% 68% C 1.42
Moldova vs KazakhstanUEFA Nations LeagueC UEFA Nations League KazakhstanOur prob 42%Best odds 3.00 +8% 42% 33% C 3.00
Shooting Stars vs Bendel InsuranceNigeria Premier Football LeagueC Nigeria Premier Football League Shooting StarsOur prob 64%Best odds 1.43 -1% 64% 65% C 1.43
JS Saoura vs KhenchelaAlgeria Ligue 1C Algeria Ligue 1 JS SaouraOur prob 51%Best odds 1.70 -3% 51% 54% C 1.70
Egypt vs MalawiAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification EgyptOur prob 81%Best odds 1.15 -3% 81% 85% C 1.15
Mali vs RwandaAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification MaliOur prob 68%Best odds 1.36 -4% 68% 71% C 1.36
Bermuda vs St. LuciaCONCACAF Nations LeagueC CONCACAF Nations League St. LuciaOur prob 73%Best odds 1.27 -3% 73% 76% C 1.27
Puerto Rico vs DominicaCONCACAF Nations LeagueC CONCACAF Nations League Puerto RicoOur prob 79%Best odds 1.22 +2% 79% 77% C 1.22
Dijon vs OrleansCoupe de FranceC Coupe de France DijonOur prob 50%Best odds 1.59 -11% 50% 61% C 1.59
St-Philbert Gd Lieu vs La Roche VFCoupe de FranceC Coupe de France La Roche VFOur prob 70%Best odds 1.29 -3% 70% 73% C 1.29
La Neuvillette vs ValenciennesCoupe de FranceC Coupe de France ValenciennesOur prob 60% — 60% — C —
Leganes vs BurgosSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División BurgosOur prob 37%Best odds 3.18 +6% 37% 31% C 3.18
Ballymena United vs LinfieldNorthern Ireland PremiershipC Northern Ireland Premiership LinfieldOur prob 55%Best odds 1.62 -2% 55% 57% C 1.62
Coleraine FC vs PortadownNorthern Ireland PremiershipC Northern Ireland Premiership Coleraine FCOur prob 74%Best odds 1.23 -3% 74% 77% C 1.23
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FCNorthern Ireland PremiershipC Northern Ireland Premiership Carrick RangersOur prob 56%Best odds 1.62 -2% 56% 58% C 1.62
Glentoran vs BangorNorthern Ireland PremiershipC Northern Ireland Premiership GlentoranOur prob 63%Best odds 1.40 -4% 63% 68% C 1.40
Larne vs Dungannon SwiftsNorthern Ireland PremiershipC Northern Ireland Premiership LarneOur prob 60%Best odds 1.53 -1% 60% 62% C 1.53
Limavady United vs Cliftonville FCNorthern Ireland PremiershipC Northern Ireland Premiership Cliftonville FCOur prob 57%Best odds 1.67 +1% 57% 56% C 1.67
Slovenia vs SwitzerlandUEFA Nations LeagueC UEFA Nations League SwitzerlandOur prob 55%Best odds 1.85 +2% 55% 54% C 1.85
Scotland vs FYR MacedoniaUEFA Nations LeagueC UEFA Nations League ScotlandOur prob 74%Best odds 1.22 -5% 74% 80% C 1.22
Serbia vs GermanyUEFA Nations LeagueC UEFA Nations League GermanyOur prob 73%Best odds 1.31 -2% 73% 74% C 1.31
Slovakia vs Faroe IslandsUEFA Nations LeagueC UEFA Nations League SlovakiaOur prob 63%Best odds 1.39 -7% 63% 70% C 1.39
Luxembourg vs EstoniaUEFA Nations LeagueC UEFA Nations League LuxembourgOur prob 37%Best odds 2.40 -4% 37% 41% C 2.40
Bulgaria vs IcelandUEFA Nations LeagueC UEFA Nations League IcelandOur prob 57%Best odds 1.90 +5% 57% 52% C 1.90
Liechtenstein vs AzerbaijanUEFA Nations LeagueC UEFA Nations League AzerbaijanOur prob 75%Best odds 1.31 -2% 75% 76% C 1.31
Andorra vs GibraltarUEFA Nations LeagueC UEFA Nations League AndorraOur prob 54%Best odds 1.75 -2% 54% 56% C 1.75
Netherlands vs GreeceUEFA Nations LeagueC UEFA Nations League NetherlandsOur prob 60%Best odds 1.60 -1% 60% 61% C 1.60
Morocco vs NigerAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification MoroccoOur prob 83%Best odds 1.09 -4% 83% 87% C 1.09
Salamanca UDS vs Celta VigoCopa del ReyC Copa del Rey Celta VigoOur prob 71%Best odds 1.36 -3% 71% 74% C 1.36
Grenada vs St. Kitts and NevisCONCACAF Nations LeagueC CONCACAF Nations League St. Kitts and NevisOur prob 54%Best odds 1.68 -3% 54% 57% C 1.68
Atletico Torque vs Racing MontevideoUruguay Primera DivisiónC Uruguay Primera División Atletico TorqueOur prob 49%Best odds 1.89 -2% 49% 51% C 1.89
Saint Martin vs El SalvadorCONCACAF Nations LeagueC CONCACAF Nations League El SalvadorOur prob 57%Best odds 1.27 -18% 57% 75% C 1.27
0-0 FTLlaneros vs ChicoPrimera AC Primera A LlanerosOur prob 53%Best odds 1.75 -2% 53% 55% C 1.75
0-0 FTCuraçao vs PanamaCONCACAF Nations LeagueC CONCACAF Nations League PanamaOur prob 37%Best odds 2.47 -2% 37% 39% C 2.47
1-0 FTMonarcas vs Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MXC Liga de Expansión MX MonarcasOur prob 52%Best odds 1.77 -2% 52% 54% C 1.77

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Competitions in our window

42 upcoming fixtures across 12 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page

All competitions
  • Persha Liga Ukraine 1 fixture
  • Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification World 12 fixtures
  • Montenegro First League Montenegro 1 fixture
  • UEFA Nations League World 10 fixtures
  • Nigeria Premier Football League Nigeria 1 fixture
  • Algeria Ligue 1 Algeria 1 fixture
  • CONCACAF Nations League World 4 fixtures
  • Coupe de France France 3 fixtures
  • Segunda División Spain 1 fixture
  • Northern Ireland Premiership Northern Ireland 6 fixtures
  • Copa del Rey Spain 1 fixture
  • Uruguay Primera División Uruguay 1 fixture

Recent results

What happened next to what we predicted

Liga de Expansión MX
CONCACAF Nations League
Primera A