Updated

10 November 2026

Football predictions today

Today's standout fixture is Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés in the Copa del Rey, where we publish a probability of 48% for UD Logroñés, slightly above the market's 45%, giving it an edge of +3.6 percentage points. While our model has identified two value picks today, neither shows a strong edge of 4 percentage points or more. Factors like team form and injuries could impact these predictions, making outcomes uncertain.

Top pick today

Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés

Copa del Rey ·

Our pick
UD Logroñés to win
Our prob.
48%
Market prob.
45%
Edge
+4%
Best odds
2.10
Matches today 9 across 4 competitions
Competitions 4 with fixtures today
Value picks 2 edge ≥ 2% over the market
High confidence 0 both teams xG-backed
Average edge +3.1% across value picks

Top opportunities

Largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live

All value bets
ValueC

Metalul Buzău to win

Metalul Buzău vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti · Liga II ·

Edge+3% Our prob50% Best odds2.00
Full prediction

Match explorer

11 fixtures today, 2 already played — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures today with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Sporting Lagos vs Rivers UnitedNigeria Premier Football LeagueC Nigeria Premier Football League Sporting LagosOur prob 46% — 46% — C —
Metalul Buzău vs CSA Steaua BucureştiLiga IIC Liga II Metalul BuzăuOur prob 50%Best odds 2.00 +3% 50% 47% C 2.00
Pamplona vs EibarCopa del ReyC Copa del Rey EibarOur prob 75%Best odds 1.20 -5% 75% 80% C 1.20
Anaitasuna vs AlavesCopa del ReyB Copa del Rey AlavesOur prob 77%Best odds 1.04 -15% 77% 91% B 1.04
Amorebieta vs UD LogroñésCopa del ReyC Copa del Rey UD LogroñésOur prob 48%Best odds 2.10 +4% 48% 45% C 2.10
Trival Valderas vs LeganesCopa del ReyC Copa del Rey LeganesOur prob 70%Best odds 1.15 -12% 70% 83% C 1.15
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real JaénCopa del ReyC Copa del Rey Real JaénOur prob 47%Best odds 1.92 -2% 47% 49% C 1.92
Tavernes vs ValenciaCopa del ReyB Copa del Rey ValenciaOur prob 81%Best odds 1.02 -14% 81% 95% B 1.02
Cacahuatique vs FirpoPrimera DivisionC Primera Division FirpoOur prob 50%Best odds 1.92 +2% 50% 48% C 1.92
2-0 FTJunior vs CucutaPrimera AC Primera A JuniorOur prob 53%Best odds 1.75 -2% 53% 55% C 1.75
1-1 FTAurora vs Universitario de VintoBolivia Primera DivisiónC Bolivia Primera División AuroraOur prob 57%Best odds 1.70 +2% 57% 55% C 1.70

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Betting sites compared

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page

Compare in full
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Competitions in our window

9 upcoming fixtures across 4 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page

All competitions
  • Nigeria Premier Football League Nigeria 1 fixture
  • Liga II Romania 1 fixture
  • Copa del Rey Spain 6 fixtures
  • Primera Division El Salvador 1 fixture

Recent results

What happened next to what we predicted

Bolivia Primera División
Primera A