Top pick today
Hamburger SV
vs
Borussia M.Gladbach
- Our pick
- Borussia M.Gladbach to win
- Our prob.
- 37%
- Market prob.
- 35%
- Edge
- +2%
- Best odds
- 2.95
Updated
6 November 2026
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Top pick today
Largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
Venezia to win
Airbus UK to win
Montpellier to win
111 fixtures today, 10 already played — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCB vs APS BometKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | KCBOur prob 40%Best odds 1.98 | -6% | 40% | 47% | C | 1.98 |
| Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Mbarara CityUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | Mbarara CityOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — |
| Qarabag vs TuranPremyer LiqaC | Premyer Liqa | QarabagOur prob 55%Best odds 1.55 | -5% | 55% | 60% | C | 1.55 |
| Al-Arabi SC vs Al Ahli DohaStars LeagueC | Stars League | Al-Arabi SCOur prob 47%Best odds 1.98 | -1% | 47% | 48% | C | 1.98 |
| Al-Fateh vs Al RiyadhPostponedSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-FatehOur prob 38%Best odds 2.30 | — | 38% | — | C | 2.30 |
| Al-Hazm vs Al-NassrPostponedSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-NassrOur prob 75%Best odds 1.33 | -3% | 75% | 78% | C | 1.33 |
| Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv SofiaBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Lokomotiv SofiaOur prob 40%Best odds 2.33 | -1% | 40% | 41% | C | 2.33 |
| BKMA vs AlashkertArmenia Premier LeagueC | Armenia Premier League | AlashkertOur prob 72%Best odds 1.29 | 0% | 72% | 73% | C | 1.29 |
| Kun Khalifat FC vs Kano PillarsNigeria Premier Football LeagueC | Nigeria Premier Football League | Kun Khalifat FCOur prob 48% | — | 48% | — | C | — |
| Karela vs VisionGhana Premier LeagueC | Ghana Premier League | KarelaOur prob 41% | — | 41% | — | C | — |
| Uta Arad vs Petrolul PloiestiLiga IC | Liga I | Uta AradOur prob 51%Best odds 1.78 | -3% | 51% | 53% | C | 1.78 |
| Neftchi Baku vs KapazPremyer LiqaC | Premyer Liqa | Neftchi BakuOur prob 64%Best odds 1.36 | -4% | 64% | 68% | C | 1.36 |
| Bokelj vs MornarMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | MornarOur prob 38%Best odds 2.31 | -3% | 38% | 41% | C | 2.31 |
| Dukagjini vs LlapiKosovo SuperligaC | Kosovo Superliga | DukagjiniOur prob 59%Best odds 1.50 | -4% | 59% | 63% | C | 1.50 |
| Nafta vs Olimpija Ljubljana1. SNLC | 1. SNL | Olimpija LjubljanaOur prob 48%Best odds 1.90 | -2% | 48% | 51% | C | 1.90 |
| Al Wakrah vs Al ShahaniyaStars LeagueC | Stars League | Al WakrahOur prob 56% | — | 56% | — | C | — |
| Gaziantep FK vs KasımpaşaSüper LigC | Süper Lig | KasımpaşaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.79 | +4% | 39% | 35% | C | 2.79 |
| Motor Lublin vs Wisla PlockEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Motor LublinOur prob 49%Best odds 1.99 | +1% | 49% | 48% | C | 1.99 |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs RudesHNLC | HNL | NK Lokomotiva ZagrebOur prob 45%Best odds 2.06 | -1% | 45% | 46% | C | 2.06 |
| AEK Larnaca vs KarmiotissaCyprus 1. DivisionC | Cyprus 1. Division | AEK LarnacaOur prob 77%Best odds 1.20 | -1% | 77% | 78% | C | 1.20 |
| Nea Salamis vs Omonia AradippouCyprus 1. DivisionC | Cyprus 1. Division | Nea SalamisOur prob 47%Best odds 2.03 | 0% | 47% | 47% | C | 2.03 |
| Antalyaspor vs Bursaspor1. LigC | 1. Lig | BursasporOur prob 53%Best odds 1.80 | 0% | 53% | 52% | C | 1.80 |
| Sarıyer vs Iğdır FK1. LigC | 1. Lig | Iğdır FKOur prob 36%Best odds 2.80 | +2% | 36% | 34% | C | 2.80 |
| Vejle vs FC FredericiaDenmark 1. DivisionC | Denmark 1. Division | FC FredericiaOur prob 37%Best odds 2.72 | +1% | 37% | 36% | C | 2.72 |
| Puszcza Niepołomice vs Miedz LegnicaI LigaC | I Liga | Miedz LegnicaOur prob 40%Best odds 2.38 | 0% | 40% | 40% | C | 2.38 |
| Dukla Praha vs PříbramFNLC | FNL | Dukla PrahaOur prob 49%Best odds 1.78 | -3% | 49% | 53% | C | 1.78 |
| Opava vs VlašimFNLC | FNL | OpavaOur prob 41%Best odds 2.15 | -4% | 41% | 45% | C | 2.15 |
| Vysočina Jihlava vs KarvináFNLC | FNL | Vysočina JihlavaOur prob 41%Best odds 2.49 | +4% | 41% | 37% | C | 2.49 |
| Ústí nad Labem vs Viktoria ŽižkovFNLC | FNL | Ústí nad LabemOur prob 51%Best odds 1.83 | -1% | 51% | 52% | C | 1.83 |
| Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance BerkaneBotola ProC | Botola Pro | Renaissance BerkaneOur prob 49%Best odds 1.85 | -1% | 49% | 50% | C | 1.85 |
| Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav RuseBulgaria First LeagueC | Bulgaria First League | Botev PlovdivOur prob 64%Best odds 1.42 | -2% | 64% | 66% | C | 1.42 |
| Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOMPostponedSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Ittihad FCOur prob 46%Best odds 2.17 | -2% | 46% | 48% | C | 2.17 |
| Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. BundesligaC | 2. Bundesliga | Dynamo DresdenOur prob 49%Best odds 2.00 | -1% | 49% | 49% | C | 2.00 |
| Eintracht Braunschweig vs Energie Cottbus2. BundesligaC | 2. Bundesliga | Eintracht BraunschweigOur prob 47%Best odds 2.05 | -1% | 47% | 48% | C | 2.05 |
| FC Liefering vs Austria Salzburg2. LigaC | 2. Liga | Austria SalzburgOur prob 40% | — | 40% | — | C | — |
| SKU Amstetten vs Wacker Innsbruck2. LigaC | 2. Liga | SKU AmstettenOur prob 46%Best odds 2.03 | -1% | 46% | 47% | C | 2.03 |
| Austria Vienna (Am) vs First Vienna2. LigaC | 2. Liga | Austria Vienna (Am)Our prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — |
| Silkeborg vs LyngbyDenmark SuperligaC | Denmark Superliga | SilkeborgOur prob 38%Best odds 2.45 | -2% | 38% | 40% | C | 2.45 |
| Hammarby FF vs IF ElfsborgAllsvenskanC | Allsvenskan | Hammarby FFOur prob 61%Best odds 1.42 | -6% | 61% | 67% | C | 1.42 |
| Barracas Central vs Racing ClubLiga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | Barracas CentralOur prob 43%Best odds 2.45 | +3% | 43% | 39% | C | 2.45 |
| FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Saarbrücken3. LigaC | 3. Liga | FC Viktoria KölnOur prob 54%Best odds 1.88 | +3% | 54% | 51% | C | 1.88 |
| AB Copenhagen vs Vendsyssel FFDenmark 1. DivisionC | Denmark 1. Division | AB CopenhagenOur prob 51%Best odds 1.86 | +1% | 51% | 50% | C | 1.86 |
| HB Koge vs AalborgDenmark 1. DivisionC | Denmark 1. Division | HB KogeOur prob 38%Best odds 2.60 | +1% | 38% | 37% | C | 2.60 |
| Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger ACAustria BundesligaC | Austria Bundesliga | Rapid ViennaOur prob 78%Best odds 1.28 | +4% | 78% | 75% | C | 1.28 |
| Arges Pitesti vs Dinamo BucurestiLiga IC | Liga I | Dinamo BucurestiOur prob 63% | — | 63% | — | C | — |
| SC Kriens vs RapperswilChallenge LeagueC | Challenge League | SC KriensOur prob 46%Best odds 2.15 | +2% | 46% | 44% | C | 2.15 |
| Stade Nyonnais vs Stade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge LeagueC | Challenge League | Stade Lausanne-OuchyOur prob 69%Best odds 1.45 | +4% | 69% | 65% | C | 1.45 |
| AVS vs VizelaSegunda LigaC | Segunda Liga | VizelaOur prob 38%Best odds 2.23 | -5% | 38% | 43% | C | 2.23 |
| Willem II vs PEC ZwolleEredivisieC | Eredivisie | PEC ZwolleOur prob 44%Best odds 2.32 | +1% | 44% | 43% | C | 2.32 |
| Montpellier vs MetzLigue 2C | Ligue 2 | MontpellierOur prob 52%Best odds 2.00 | +5% | 52% | 48% | C | 2.00 |
| Dijon vs RED Star FC 93Ligue 2C | Ligue 2 | DijonOur prob 39%Best odds 2.80 | +4% | 39% | 35% | C | 2.80 |
| Grenoble vs ReimsLigue 2C | Ligue 2 | ReimsOur prob 53%Best odds 1.95 | +4% | 53% | 49% | C | 1.95 |
| Nancy vs SochauxLigue 2C | Ligue 2 | NancyOur prob 57%Best odds 1.74 | +1% | 57% | 56% | C | 1.74 |
| Boulogne vs AnnecyLigue 2C | Ligue 2 | BoulogneOur prob 36%Best odds 2.52 | -2% | 36% | 38% | C | 2.52 |
| Dunkerque vs GuingampLigue 2C | Ligue 2 | GuingampOur prob 40%Best odds 2.45 | +1% | 40% | 39% | C | 2.45 |
| VVV Venlo vs Jong PSV U21Eerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | VVV VenloOur prob 60%Best odds 1.62 | +2% | 60% | 58% | C | 1.62 |
| Heracles vs RodaEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | HeraclesOur prob 62%Best odds 1.47 | -3% | 62% | 65% | C | 1.47 |
| Dordrecht vs NAC BredaEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | NAC BredaOur prob 61%Best odds 1.57 | +1% | 61% | 60% | C | 1.57 |
| Jong AZ vs Almere City FCEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | Almere City FCOur prob 44%Best odds 2.16 | +1% | 44% | 43% | C | 2.16 |
| FC Eindhoven vs Jong AjaxEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | FC EindhovenOur prob 47%Best odds 2.15 | +1% | 47% | 45% | C | 2.15 |
| FC OSS vs WaalwijkEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | WaalwijkOur prob 45%Best odds 1.92 | -5% | 45% | 50% | C | 1.92 |
| Helmond Sport vs FC VolendamEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | FC VolendamOur prob 41%Best odds 2.45 | +2% | 41% | 39% | C | 2.45 |
| Sporting Hasselt vs Patro EisdenChallenger Pro LeagueC | Challenger Pro League | Sporting HasseltOur prob 43%Best odds 2.37 | +2% | 43% | 41% | C | 2.37 |
| KRC Genk II vs KAA Gent IIChallenger Pro LeagueC | Challenger Pro League | KRC Genk IIOur prob 45%Best odds 2.15 | 0% | 45% | 45% | C | 2.15 |
| Birzebbuga vs MostaMalta Premier LeagueC | Malta Premier League | BirzebbugaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.45 | +1% | 39% | 38% | C | 2.45 |
| FC Aarau vs FC WIL 1900Challenge LeagueC | Challenge League | FC AarauOur prob 52%Best odds 1.82 | 0% | 52% | 52% | C | 1.82 |
| Hamburger SV vs Borussia M.GladbachBundesligaA | Bundesliga | Borussia M.GladbachOur prob 37%Best odds 2.95 | +2% | 37% | 35% | A | 2.95 |
| Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Wisla KrakowOur prob 52%Best odds 1.85 | +1% | 52% | 52% | C | 1.85 |
| Castellón vs EibarPostponedSegunda DivisiónC | Segunda División | CastellónOur prob 61%Best odds 1.65 | +2% | 61% | 58% | C | 1.65 |
| Ascoli vs PalermoItaly Serie BC | Italy Serie B | PalermoOur prob 38%Best odds 2.30 | -4% | 38% | 43% | C | 2.30 |
| Raith Rovers vs DunfermlineScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | DunfermlineOur prob 35%Best odds 2.63 | -2% | 35% | 37% | C | 2.63 |
| Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten2. LigaC | 2. Liga | SKN ST. PoltenOur prob 38%Best odds 2.45 | -3% | 38% | 41% | C | 2.45 |
| Odra Opole vs Unia SkierniewiceI LigaC | I Liga | Odra OpoleOur prob 42%Best odds 2.12 | -2% | 42% | 45% | C | 2.12 |
| Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge UnitedEngland FA CupC | England FA Cup | Cambridge UnitedOur prob 42%Best odds 2.27 | -1% | 42% | 43% | C | 2.27 |
| Venezia vs UdineseSerie AA | Serie A | VeneziaOur prob 46%Best odds 2.33 | +2% | 46% | 44% | A | 2.33 |
| Toulouse vs StrasbourgLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | ToulouseOur prob 47%Best odds 2.12 | +1% | 47% | 46% | A | 2.12 |
| Standard Liege vs SK BeverenJupiler Pro LeagueC | Jupiler Pro League | Standard LiegeOur prob 49%Best odds 1.88 | -3% | 49% | 52% | C | 1.88 |
| Llandudno vs The New SaintsWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | The New SaintsOur prob 85%Best odds 1.12 | +3% | 85% | 82% | C | 1.12 |
| Ammanford AFC vs Briton FerryWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Briton FerryOur prob 61%Best odds 1.52 | 0% | 61% | 61% | C | 1.52 |
| Penybont vs Caernarfon TownWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | PenybontOur prob 39%Best odds 2.57 | +3% | 39% | 36% | C | 2.57 |
| Haverfordwest County AFC vs Cardiff METWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Haverfordwest County AFCOur prob 39%Best odds 2.43 | +1% | 39% | 38% | C | 2.43 |
| Cambrian & Clydach vs Barry TownWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Barry TownOur prob 47%Best odds 2.25 | +5% | 47% | 42% | C | 2.25 |
| Holywell vs Airbus UKWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Airbus UKOur prob 70%Best odds 1.49 | +5% | 70% | 65% | C | 1.49 |
| Trefelin vs Colwyn BayWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Colwyn BayOur prob 69%Best odds 1.38 | +1% | 69% | 67% | C | 1.38 |
| Cliftonville FC vs LarneNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | LarneOur prob 48%Best odds 1.85 | -4% | 48% | 53% | C | 1.85 |
| Oxford City vs LeicesterEngland FA CupC | England FA Cup | LeicesterOur prob 57%Best odds 1.40 | -13% | 57% | 70% | C | 1.40 |
| Sevilla vs AlavesLa LigaA | La Liga | SevillaOur prob 47%Best odds 2.09 | +1% | 47% | 46% | A | 2.09 |
| Everton vs CoventryPremier LeagueA | Premier League | EvertonOur prob 55%Best odds 1.75 | 0% | 55% | 55% | A | 1.75 |
| GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Flint Town UnitedWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | GAP Connah S Quay FCOur prob 67%Best odds 1.35 | -2% | 67% | 69% | C | 1.35 |
| Atletico Grau vs CuscoPeru Primera DivisiónC | Peru Primera División | CuscoOur prob 37%Best odds 2.62 | +1% | 37% | 37% | C | 2.62 |
| Derby vs BoltonEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | BoltonOur prob 40%Best odds 2.80 | +4% | 40% | 36% | C | 2.80 |
| UTS Rabat vs Amal TiznitBotola ProC | Botola Pro | UTS RabatOur prob 49%Best odds 1.96 | +1% | 49% | 47% | C | 1.96 |
| Famalicao vs AroucaPrimeira LigaC | Primeira Liga | FamalicaoOur prob 40%Best odds 2.21 | -4% | 40% | 44% | C | 2.21 |
| Union Santa Fe vs Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | Velez SarsfieldOur prob 38%Best odds 2.80 | +3% | 38% | 35% | C | 2.80 |
| Independiente vs Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | IndependienteOur prob 53%Best odds 1.75 | -2% | 53% | 55% | C | 1.75 |
| San Lorenzo vs PlatenseLiga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | San LorenzoOur prob 35%Best odds 2.72 | -2% | 35% | 36% | C | 2.72 |
| Operario-PR vs Sport RecifeBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | Sport RecifeOur prob 39%Best odds 2.35 | -2% | 39% | 41% | C | 2.35 |
| Vitoria vs FluminenseBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | FluminenseOur prob 37%Best odds 2.60 | -1% | 37% | 37% | C | 2.60 |
| Chico vs Internacional de BogotaPrimera AC | Primera A | Internacional de BogotaOur prob 36%Best odds 2.71 | +1% | 36% | 35% | C | 2.71 |
| Independiente Petrolero vs Real TomayapoBolivia Primera DivisiónC | Bolivia Primera División | Independiente PetroleroOur prob 54%Best odds 1.73 | 0% | 54% | 55% | C | 1.73 |
| Olympique Cayenne vs Etoile MatouryCoupe de FranceC | Coupe de France | Etoile MatouryOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — |
| 3-2 FTCruzeiro vs BahiaBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | CruzeiroOur prob 56%Best odds 1.75 | +1% | 56% | 56% | C | 1.75 |
| 1-1 FTCancún vs PiratasLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | CancúnOur prob 37%Best odds 2.89 | +4% | 37% | 33% | C | 2.89 |
| 3-1 FTCD Marathon vs Platense FCHonduras Liga NacionalC | Honduras Liga Nacional | CD MarathonOur prob 70%Best odds 1.34 | +1% | 70% | 69% | C | 1.34 |
| 0-2 FTCS Herediano vs Deportivo SaprissaCosta Rica Primera DivisiónC | Costa Rica Primera División | Deportivo SaprissaOur prob 40%Best odds 2.50 | 0% | 40% | 40% | C | 2.50 |
| 1-0 FTDurango vs Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | DurangoOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — |
| 4-1 FTSydney vs Central Coast MarinersA-LeagueC | A-League | SydneyOur prob 58%Best odds 1.57 | -4% | 58% | 62% | C | 1.57 |
| 1-1 FTObolon'-Brovar vs Livyi BerehUkraine Premier LeagueC | Ukraine Premier League | Livyi BerehOur prob 44%Best odds 2.31 | +2% | 44% | 41% | C | 2.31 |
| 2-0 FTPolessya vs Veres RivneUkraine Premier LeagueC | Ukraine Premier League | PolessyaOur prob 77%Best odds 1.24 | +1% | 77% | 76% | C | 1.24 |
| 0-3 FTVan vs Pyunik YerevanArmenia Premier LeagueC | Armenia Premier League | Pyunik YerevanOur prob 72%Best odds 1.30 | 0% | 72% | 72% | C | 1.30 |
| 2-2 FTMaccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah TikvaLigat Ha'alC | Ligat Ha'al | Maccabi Tel AvivOur prob 80%Best odds 1.21 | +1% | 80% | 79% | C | 1.21 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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101 upcoming fixtures across 56 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
What happened next to what we predicted