Updated

13 October 2026

Football predictions today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Top pick today

Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas

Primera A ·

Our pick
Bucaramanga to win
Model prob.
70%
Market prob.
46%
Edge
+24%
Best odds
2.05
Matches today 4 across 4 competitions
Competitions 4 with fixtures today
Value picks 4 model edge ≥ 2%
High confidence 0 both teams xG-backed
Average edge +13.8% across value picks

Top opportunities

Largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live

All value bets
High edgeC

Tapatío to win

Tapatío vs Tepatitlán · Liga de Expansión MX ·

Edge+13% Our prob63% Best odds1.57
Full prediction
High edgeC

Raja Casablanca to win

FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca · Botola Pro ·

Edge+11% Our prob40% Best odds2.62
Full prediction
High edgeC

Athletic Club to win

Athletic Club vs Londrina · Brazil Serie B ·

Edge+8% Our prob49% Best odds2.01
Full prediction

Match explorer

53 fixtures today, 49 already played — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures today with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
FUS Rabat vs Raja CasablancaBotola ProC Botola Pro Raja CasablancaOur prob 40%Best odds 2.62 +11% 48% 37% C 2.62
Athletic Club vs LondrinaBrazil Serie BC Brazil Serie B Athletic ClubOur prob 49%Best odds 2.01 +8% 55% 47% C 2.01
Tapatío vs TepatitlánLiga de Expansión MXC Liga de Expansión MX TapatíoOur prob 63%Best odds 1.57 +13% 73% 60% C 1.57
Bucaramanga vs Águilas DoradasPrimera AC Primera A BucaramangaOur prob 52%Best odds 2.05 +24% 70% 46% C 2.05
4-2 FTRB Bragantino vs CruzeiroBrazil Serie AC Brazil Serie A RB BragantinoOur prob 41%Best odds 2.18 -15% 29% 44% C 2.18
1-0 FTBotafogo SP vs CearaBrazil Serie BC Brazil Serie B Botafogo SPOur prob 42%Best odds 2.11 -10% 35% 45% C 2.11
1-1 FTBandırmaspor vs Sivasspor1. LigC 1. Lig BandırmasporOur prob 48%Best odds 2.18 +16% 60% 44% C 2.18
0-1 FTBallkani vs DritaKosovo SuperligaC Kosovo Superliga BallkaniOur prob 41%Best odds 2.15 -10% 33% 43% C 2.15
0-0 FTLugazi vs BULUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League BULOur prob 53%Best odds 1.67 -6% 48% 54% C 1.67
0-2 FTNtugasaze vs KCCAUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League KCCAOur prob 49% — 49% — C —
3-0 FTNational Bank of Egypt vs El GeishEgypt Premier LeagueC Egypt Premier League National Bank of EgyptOur prob 45%Best odds 2.05 -9% 38% 47% C 2.05
1-2 FTAbu Qair Semad vs Asyut PetrolEgypt Premier LeagueC Egypt Premier League Abu Qair SemadOur prob 38%Best odds 2.19 -18% 25% 43% C 2.19
1-4 FTSarıyer vs Bodrum FK1. LigC 1. Lig SarıyerOur prob 45%Best odds 2.08 -1% 44% 46% C 2.08
0-1 FTUS Biskra vs MC OranAlgeria Ligue 1C Algeria Ligue 1 US BiskraOur prob 36%Best odds 2.35 -15% 25% 40% C 2.35
2-2 FTVaprus vs Kalju NommeMeistriliigaC Meistriliiga Kalju NommeOur prob 51%Best odds 1.78 -7% 46% 53% C 1.78
2-0 FTLaagri vs Nõmme UnitedMeistriliigaC Meistriliiga LaagriOur prob 51%Best odds 2.05 +21% 67% 46% C 2.05
3-0 FTGjilani vs Drenica SkënderajKosovo SuperligaC Kosovo Superliga GjilaniOur prob 48%Best odds 1.90 -5% 44% 49% C 1.90
4-2 FTGOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEALKenyan Premier LeagueC Kenyan Premier League GOR MahiaOur prob 55%Best odds 1.50 -32% 31% 63% C 1.50
6-1 FTSimba vs MashujaaTanzania Premier LeagueC Tanzania Premier League SimbaOur prob 78%Best odds 1.20 -1% 77% 78% C 1.20
0-2 FTLens vs Sporting CPUEFA Champions LeagueB UEFA Champions League LensOur prob 39%Best odds 2.62 +7% 45% 38% B 2.62
2-0 FTSabah FA vs Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions LeagueC UEFA Champions League Slavia PrahaOur prob 44%Best odds 2.02 -22% 27% 49% C 2.02
1-1 FTASO Chlef vs MC AlgerAlgeria Ligue 1C Algeria Ligue 1 MC AlgerOur prob 51%Best odds 1.95 +11% 60% 49% C 1.95
2-2 FTPetrojet vs Wadi DeglaEgypt Premier LeagueC Egypt Premier League Wadi DeglaOur prob 35%Best odds 2.79 0% 36% 35% C 2.79
2-1 FTAl Ittihad vs El Gouna FCEgypt Premier LeagueC Egypt Premier League Al IttihadOur prob 49%Best odds 2.04 -1% 48% 49% C 2.04
0-2 FTHansa Rostock vs SV Meppen3. LigaC 3. Liga Hansa RostockOur prob 60%Best odds 1.64 -2% 59% 61% C 1.64
2-0 FTRot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln3. LigaC 3. Liga Rot-Weiß EssenOur prob 58%Best odds 1.51 -17% 45% 63% C 1.51
2-4 FTFC Saarbrücken vs MSV Duisburg3. LigaC 3. Liga MSV DuisburgOur prob 38%Best odds 2.58 +4% 41% 37% C 2.58
2-2 FTHavelse vs Würzburger Kickers3. LigaC 3. Liga Würzburger KickersOur prob 40%Best odds 2.39 -3% 38% 41% C 2.39
3-2 FTStuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II3. LigaC 3. Liga Hoffenheim IIOur prob 43%Best odds 2.18 -6% 38% 44% C 2.18
1-2 FTPendikspor vs Vanspor FK1. LigC 1. Lig PendiksporOur prob 53%Best odds 1.79 -1% 52% 53% C 1.79
4-0 FTIFK Norrkoping vs GIF SundsvallSuperettanC Superettan IFK NorrkopingOur prob 80%Best odds 1.20 +5% 84% 79% C 1.20
1-2 FTDurban City vs AmazuluPremier Soccer LeagueC Premier Soccer League Durban CityOur prob 36%Best odds 2.50 -7% 30% 38% C 2.50
1-1 FTKaizer Chiefs vs StellenboschPremier Soccer LeagueC Premier Soccer League Kaizer ChiefsOur prob 53%Best odds 1.70 -11% 45% 55% C 1.70
1-4 FTRichards Bay vs Mamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer LeagueC Premier Soccer League Mamelodi SundownsOur prob 70%Best odds 1.36 +2% 72% 70% C 1.36
3-0 FTOrlando Pirates vs TS GalaxyPremier Soccer LeagueC Premier Soccer League Orlando PiratesOur prob 78%Best odds 1.21 +2% 80% 78% C 1.21
2-2 FTRenaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis ZemamraBotola ProC Botola Pro Renaissance BerkaneOur prob 58%Best odds 1.62 +2% 59% 57% C 1.62
1-3 FTWolverhampton Wanderers vs BoltonEngland ChampionshipC England Championship Wolverhampton WanderersOur prob 64%Best odds 1.45 -15% 53% 68% C 1.45
5-1 FTCardiff vs WatfordEngland ChampionshipC England Championship CardiffOur prob 60%Best odds 1.72 +12% 70% 57% C 1.72
2-2 FTBurnley vs CharltonEngland ChampionshipC England Championship BurnleyOur prob 56%Best odds 1.68 -8% 50% 58% C 1.68
0-1 FTBristol City vs BlackburnEngland ChampionshipC England Championship Bristol CityOur prob 44%Best odds 2.16 -8% 38% 46% C 2.16
0-1 FTMillwall vs SwanseaEngland ChampionshipC England Championship MillwallOur prob 36%Best odds 2.50 -12% 28% 39% C 2.50
1-2 FTWrexham vs West BromEngland ChampionshipC England Championship WrexhamOur prob 38%Best odds 2.42 -11% 29% 41% C 2.42
2-1 FTQueen's Park vs Inverness CTScotland ChampionshipC Scotland Championship Inverness CTOur prob 56%Best odds 1.76 0% 56% 56% C 1.76
4-0 FTBirmingham vs PrestonEngland ChampionshipC England Championship BirminghamOur prob 63%Best odds 1.50 -4% 60% 64% C 1.50
2-3 FTStoke City vs MiddlesbroughEngland ChampionshipC England Championship MiddlesbroughOur prob 44%Best odds 2.05 -15% 32% 47% C 2.05
3-0 FTArsenal vs LilleUEFA Champions LeagueA UEFA Champions League ArsenalOur prob 75%Best odds 1.23 -17% 62% 80% A 1.23
1-0 FTRasenBallsport Leipzig vs PSV EindhovenUEFA Champions LeagueB UEFA Champions League RasenBallsport LeipzigOur prob 55%Best odds 1.65 -21% 39% 60% B 1.65
3-4 FTInter vs Club Brugge KVUEFA Champions LeagueB UEFA Champions League InterOur prob 67%Best odds 1.27 -38% 39% 77% B 1.27
2-0 FTAtletico Madrid vs Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions LeagueA UEFA Champions League Atletico MadridOur prob 51%Best odds 1.98 +7% 57% 50% A 1.98
3-1 FTVillarreal vs NapoliUEFA Champions LeagueA UEFA Champions League VillarrealOur prob 47%Best odds 2.19 +4% 50% 46% A 2.19
1-4 FTGalatasaray vs BarcelonaUEFA Champions LeagueB UEFA Champions League BarcelonaOur prob 70%Best odds 1.33 -16% 58% 74% B 1.33
3-3 FTViking vs Bayern MunichUEFA Champions LeagueB UEFA Champions League Bayern MunichOur prob 71%Best odds 1.14 -62% 24% 86% B 1.14
1-0 FTUSM Alger vs JS SaouraAlgeria Ligue 1C Algeria Ligue 1 USM AlgerOur prob 57%Best odds 1.55 -14% 47% 60% C 1.55

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Competitions in our window

4 upcoming fixtures across 4 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page

All competitions
  • Botola Pro Morocco 1 fixture
  • Brazil Serie B Brazil 1 fixture
  • Liga de Expansión MX Mexico 1 fixture
  • Primera A Colombia 1 fixture

Recent results

What happened next to what we predicted

Algeria Ligue 1
UEFA Champions League