Top pick today
Moldova
vs
Kazakhstan
- Our pick
- Kazakhstan to win
- Our prob.
- 42%
- Market prob.
- 33%
- Edge
- +8%
- Best odds
- 3.00
Updated
13 November 2026
Today's fixtures include 42 matches, with the most notable being Moldova vs Kazakhstan in the UEFA Nations League, where we publish Kazakhstan at 42% compared to the market's 33%, giving an edge of +8.5 percentage points. This analysis is based on xG-based team ratings blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds. However, factors like player injuries or last-minute changes could affect the outcome, making predictions uncertain.
Top pick today
Largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
Burgos to win
Iceland to win
Puerto Rico to win
45 fixtures today, 3 already played — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prykarpattia vs Kolos Kovalivka IIPersha LigaC | Persha Liga | PrykarpattiaOur prob 54%Best odds 1.65 | -2% | 54% | 56% | C | 1.65 |
| Comoros vs CongoAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | ComorosOur prob 52%Best odds 1.86 | +1% | 52% | 51% | C | 1.86 |
| Mozambique vs EthiopiaAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | MozambiqueOur prob 54%Best odds 1.62 | -4% | 54% | 57% | C | 1.62 |
| Zambia vs BurundiAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | ZambiaOur prob 49%Best odds 1.67 | -7% | 49% | 57% | C | 1.67 |
| Jezero vs Buducnost PodgoricaMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | Buducnost PodgoricaOur prob 36%Best odds 2.50 | -1% | 36% | 37% | C | 2.50 |
| Burkina Faso vs MauritaniaAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Burkina FasoOur prob 61%Best odds 1.59 | +2% | 61% | 59% | C | 1.59 |
| Cape Verde Islands vs LiberiaAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Cape Verde IslandsOur prob 70%Best odds 1.28 | -6% | 70% | 76% | C | 1.28 |
| Gabon vs LesothoAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | GabonOur prob 72%Best odds 1.30 | -4% | 72% | 76% | C | 1.30 |
| Nigeria vs TanzaniaAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | NigeriaOur prob 77%Best odds 1.22 | -3% | 77% | 79% | C | 1.22 |
| South Africa vs KenyaAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | South AfricaOur prob 70%Best odds 1.31 | -3% | 70% | 73% | C | 1.31 |
| Tunisia vs LibyaAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | TunisiaOur prob 62%Best odds 1.42 | -6% | 62% | 68% | C | 1.42 |
| Moldova vs KazakhstanUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | KazakhstanOur prob 42%Best odds 3.00 | +8% | 42% | 33% | C | 3.00 |
| Shooting Stars vs Bendel InsuranceNigeria Premier Football LeagueC | Nigeria Premier Football League | Shooting StarsOur prob 64%Best odds 1.43 | -1% | 64% | 65% | C | 1.43 |
| JS Saoura vs KhenchelaAlgeria Ligue 1C | Algeria Ligue 1 | JS SaouraOur prob 51%Best odds 1.70 | -3% | 51% | 54% | C | 1.70 |
| Egypt vs MalawiAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | EgyptOur prob 81%Best odds 1.15 | -3% | 81% | 85% | C | 1.15 |
| Mali vs RwandaAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | MaliOur prob 68%Best odds 1.36 | -4% | 68% | 71% | C | 1.36 |
| Bermuda vs St. LuciaCONCACAF Nations LeagueC | CONCACAF Nations League | St. LuciaOur prob 73%Best odds 1.27 | -3% | 73% | 76% | C | 1.27 |
| Puerto Rico vs DominicaCONCACAF Nations LeagueC | CONCACAF Nations League | Puerto RicoOur prob 79%Best odds 1.22 | +2% | 79% | 77% | C | 1.22 |
| Dijon vs OrleansCoupe de FranceC | Coupe de France | DijonOur prob 50%Best odds 1.59 | -11% | 50% | 61% | C | 1.59 |
| St-Philbert Gd Lieu vs La Roche VFCoupe de FranceC | Coupe de France | La Roche VFOur prob 70%Best odds 1.29 | -3% | 70% | 73% | C | 1.29 |
| La Neuvillette vs ValenciennesCoupe de FranceC | Coupe de France | ValenciennesOur prob 60% | — | 60% | — | C | — |
| Leganes vs BurgosSegunda DivisiónC | Segunda División | BurgosOur prob 37%Best odds 3.18 | +6% | 37% | 31% | C | 3.18 |
| Ballymena United vs LinfieldNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | LinfieldOur prob 55%Best odds 1.62 | -2% | 55% | 57% | C | 1.62 |
| Coleraine FC vs PortadownNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | Coleraine FCOur prob 74%Best odds 1.23 | -3% | 74% | 77% | C | 1.23 |
| Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FCNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | Carrick RangersOur prob 56%Best odds 1.62 | -2% | 56% | 58% | C | 1.62 |
| Glentoran vs BangorNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | GlentoranOur prob 63%Best odds 1.40 | -4% | 63% | 68% | C | 1.40 |
| Larne vs Dungannon SwiftsNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | LarneOur prob 60%Best odds 1.53 | -1% | 60% | 62% | C | 1.53 |
| Limavady United vs Cliftonville FCNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | Cliftonville FCOur prob 57%Best odds 1.67 | +1% | 57% | 56% | C | 1.67 |
| Slovenia vs SwitzerlandUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | SwitzerlandOur prob 55%Best odds 1.85 | +2% | 55% | 54% | C | 1.85 |
| Scotland vs FYR MacedoniaUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | ScotlandOur prob 74%Best odds 1.22 | -5% | 74% | 80% | C | 1.22 |
| Serbia vs GermanyUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | GermanyOur prob 73%Best odds 1.31 | -2% | 73% | 74% | C | 1.31 |
| Slovakia vs Faroe IslandsUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | SlovakiaOur prob 63%Best odds 1.39 | -7% | 63% | 70% | C | 1.39 |
| Luxembourg vs EstoniaUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | LuxembourgOur prob 37%Best odds 2.40 | -4% | 37% | 41% | C | 2.40 |
| Bulgaria vs IcelandUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | IcelandOur prob 57%Best odds 1.90 | +5% | 57% | 52% | C | 1.90 |
| Liechtenstein vs AzerbaijanUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | AzerbaijanOur prob 75%Best odds 1.31 | -2% | 75% | 76% | C | 1.31 |
| Andorra vs GibraltarUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | AndorraOur prob 54%Best odds 1.75 | -2% | 54% | 56% | C | 1.75 |
| Netherlands vs GreeceUEFA Nations LeagueC | UEFA Nations League | NetherlandsOur prob 60%Best odds 1.60 | -1% | 60% | 61% | C | 1.60 |
| Morocco vs NigerAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationC | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | MoroccoOur prob 83%Best odds 1.09 | -4% | 83% | 87% | C | 1.09 |
| Salamanca UDS vs Celta VigoCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Celta VigoOur prob 71%Best odds 1.36 | -3% | 71% | 74% | C | 1.36 |
| Grenada vs St. Kitts and NevisCONCACAF Nations LeagueC | CONCACAF Nations League | St. Kitts and NevisOur prob 54%Best odds 1.68 | -3% | 54% | 57% | C | 1.68 |
| Atletico Torque vs Racing MontevideoUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | Atletico TorqueOur prob 49%Best odds 1.89 | -2% | 49% | 51% | C | 1.89 |
| Saint Martin vs El SalvadorCONCACAF Nations LeagueC | CONCACAF Nations League | El SalvadorOur prob 57%Best odds 1.27 | -18% | 57% | 75% | C | 1.27 |
| 0-0 FTLlaneros vs ChicoPrimera AC | Primera A | LlanerosOur prob 53%Best odds 1.75 | -2% | 53% | 55% | C | 1.75 |
| 0-0 FTCuraçao vs PanamaCONCACAF Nations LeagueC | CONCACAF Nations League | PanamaOur prob 37%Best odds 2.47 | -2% | 37% | 39% | C | 2.47 |
| 1-0 FTMonarcas vs Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MXC | Liga de Expansión MX | MonarcasOur prob 52%Best odds 1.77 | -2% | 52% | 54% | C | 1.77 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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42 upcoming fixtures across 12 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
What happened next to what we predicted