Updated

15 October 2026

Football predictions today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Top pick today

Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad

UEFA Europa League ·

Our pick
Union St. Gilloise to win
Model prob.
86%
Market prob.
39%
Edge
+46%
Best odds
2.45
Matches today 71 across 17 competitions
Competitions 17 with fixtures today
Value picks 22 model edge ≥ 2%
High confidence 2 both teams xG-backed
Average edge +15.7% across value picks

Top opportunities

Largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live

All value bets
High edgeB

Universitatea Craiova to win

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe · UEFA Europa Conference League ·

Edge+45% Our prob41% Best odds3.30
Full prediction
High edgeA

Juventus to win

Celta Vigo vs Juventus · UEFA Europa League ·

Edge+15% Our prob48% Best odds2.19
Full prediction
High edgeA

Lyon to win

Lyon vs Crystal Palace · UEFA Europa League ·

Edge+15% Our prob47% Best odds2.29
Full prediction

Match explorer

71 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures today with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
FC Dallas vs Seattle SoundersMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer FC DallasOur prob 47%Best odds 1.90 -18% 34% 52% C 1.90
Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia UnionMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Philadelphia UnionOur prob 42%Best odds 2.49 +11% 50% 39% C 2.49
Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas CityMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Nashville SCOur prob 78%Best odds 1.25 +1% 78% 78% C 1.25
St. Louis City vs Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer St. Louis CityOur prob 48%Best odds 2.25 +17% 60% 44% C 2.25
Fluminense vs PalmeirasCONMEBOL LibertadoresC CONMEBOL Libertadores FluminenseOur prob 34%Best odds 2.92 +1% 35% 34% C 2.92
Guastatoya vs Antigua GFCGuatemala Liga NacionalC Guatemala Liga Nacional GuastatoyaOur prob 46%Best odds 2.27 +20% 61% 41% C 2.27
Real Salt Lake vs San Jose EarthquakesMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Real Salt LakeOur prob 46%Best odds 2.00 -11% 38% 49% C 2.00
Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FCMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Colorado RapidsOur prob 48%Best odds 2.09 +9% 55% 46% C 2.09
LD Alajuelense vs CS HeredianoCosta Rica Primera DivisiónC Costa Rica Primera División LD AlajuelenseOur prob 52%Best odds 1.93 +18% 66% 48% C 1.93
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland TimbersMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Los Angeles GalaxyOur prob 45%Best odds 2.11 -8% 39% 46% C 2.11
Los Angeles FC vs AustinMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Los Angeles FCOur prob 60%Best odds 1.47 -23% 43% 66% C 1.47
San Diego vs Houston DynamoMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer San DiegoOur prob 41%Best odds 2.25 -11% 33% 44% C 2.25
Marquense vs MixcoGuatemala Liga NacionalC Guatemala Liga Nacional MarquenseOur prob 55%Best odds 1.74 +7% 60% 53% C 1.74
Malisheva vs PrishtinaKosovo SuperligaC Kosovo Superliga MalishevaOur prob 49%Best odds 1.80 -5% 45% 50% C 1.80
Kataka vs VipersUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League VipersOur prob 60% — 60% — C —
Express vs UPDFUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League ExpressOur prob 43% — 43% — C —
Mutondo Stars vs Green BuffaloesZambia Super LeagueC Zambia Super League Mutondo StarsOur prob 38% — 38% — C —
Chirundu Utd vs Kabwe WarriorsZambia Super LeagueC Zambia Super League DrawOur prob 36% — 36% — C —
Makeni All Stars vs ZanacoZambia Super LeagueC Zambia Super League ZanacoOur prob 35%Best odds 2.35 -12% 26% 38% C 2.35
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al KholoodSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC Saudi Arabia Pro League Al-Faisaly FCOur prob 36% — 36% — C —
Rīgas FS vs Super NovaVirsligaC Virsliga Rīgas FSOur prob 72%Best odds 1.22 -17% 59% 76% C 1.22
Mardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük1. LigC 1. Lig Mardin 1969Our prob 46%Best odds 2.00 -1% 45% 46% C 2.00
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-FayhaSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC Saudi Arabia Pro League Al Khaleej SaihatOur prob 41%Best odds 2.13 -17% 28% 45% C 2.13
Al-Hazm vs Al-FatehSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC Saudi Arabia Pro League Al-HazmOur prob 40%Best odds 2.60 +13% 50% 37% C 2.60
Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliigaC Meistriliiga FC Levadia TallinnOur prob 65%Best odds 1.50 +13% 75% 62% C 1.50
URA vs Entebbe UPPCUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League Entebbe UPPCOur prob 45% — 45% — C —
Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza NiepołomiceI LigaC I Liga Pogoń SiedlceOur prob 36%Best odds 3.05 +4% 40% 35% C 3.05
Lyon vs Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa LeagueA UEFA Europa League LyonOur prob 47%Best odds 2.29 +15% 58% 43% A 2.29
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League AZ AlkmaarOur prob 67%Best odds 1.33 -23% 50% 73% C 1.33
Lech Poznan vs Bayer LeverkusenUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League Bayer LeverkusenOur prob 50%Best odds 1.67 -31% 27% 58% B 1.67
Red Bull Salzburg vs AC MilanUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League AC MilanOur prob 40%Best odds 1.88 -45% 7% 52% B 1.88
Sparta Praha vs LillestromUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League Sparta PrahaOur prob 70%Best odds 1.37 -4% 67% 70% C 1.37
Union St. Gilloise vs Real SociedadUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League Union St. GilloiseOur prob 51%Best odds 2.45 +46% 86% 39% B 2.45
Celje vs Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League Omonia NicosiaOur prob 38%Best odds 2.83 +17% 51% 34% C 2.83
Torreense vs SunderlandUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League SunderlandOur prob 59%Best odds 1.40 -40% 29% 69% B 1.40
FC Lugano vs FK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League FC LuganoOur prob 40%Best odds 2.88 +23% 57% 34% C 2.88
HNK Hajduk Split vs AjaxUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League AjaxOur prob 56%Best odds 1.54 -27% 35% 62% C 1.54
Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja LukaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League PanathinaikosOur prob 70%Best odds 1.23 -33% 46% 78% C 1.23
Gent vs AarhusUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League GentOur prob 61%Best odds 1.63 +7% 66% 59% C 1.63
Universitatea Craiova vs GetafeUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB UEFA Europa Conference League Universitatea CraiovaOur prob 41%Best odds 3.30 +45% 75% 30% B 3.30
CSKA Sofia vs MonacoUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB UEFA Europa Conference League MonacoOur prob 52%Best odds 1.53 -48% 16% 64% B 1.53
KuPS vs TrabzonsporUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League TrabzonsporOur prob 58%Best odds 1.47 -27% 37% 65% C 1.47
Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'EscaldesUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League Mjallby AIFOur prob 58%Best odds 1.34 -53% 18% 71% C 1.34
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC MidtjyllandUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League FC MidtjyllandOur prob 56%Best odds 1.53 -27% 36% 63% C 1.53
Riga vs Kairat AlmatyUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League RigaOur prob 51%Best odds 1.95 +9% 58% 49% C 1.95
Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor1. LigC 1. Lig Esenler EroksporOur prob 38%Best odds 2.09 -28% 18% 45% C 2.09
Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor1. LigC 1. Lig BursasporOur prob 51%Best odds 1.67 -23% 34% 57% C 1.67
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-NassrSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC Saudi Arabia Pro League Al-NassrOur prob 42%Best odds 2.11 -10% 34% 45% C 2.11
Xelajú vs MalacatecoGuatemala Liga NacionalC Guatemala Liga Nacional XelajúOur prob 63%Best odds 1.60 +9% 70% 61% C 1.60
Mansfield Town vs Oxford UnitedLeague OneC League One Mansfield TownOur prob 39%Best odds 2.32 -10% 32% 42% C 2.32
Bournemouth vs Sturm GrazUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League BournemouthOur prob 72%Best odds 1.21 -31% 48% 79% B 1.21
Marseille vs Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League MarseilleOur prob 38%Best odds 2.34 -16% 26% 42% B 2.34
Rennes vs OFIUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League RennesOur prob 66%Best odds 1.27 -38% 38% 76% B 1.27
Hoffenheim vs BeşiktaşUEFA Europa LeagueB UEFA Europa League HoffenheimOur prob 44%Best odds 2.00 -21% 28% 49% B 2.00
Benfica vs CelticUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League BenficaOur prob 73%Best odds 1.27 -10% 65% 76% C 1.27
Jagiellonia vs Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League JagielloniaOur prob 59%Best odds 1.44 -30% 37% 67% C 1.44
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski SofiaUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League NEC NijmegenOur prob 43%Best odds 1.86 -36% 16% 52% C 1.86
Celta Vigo vs JuventusUEFA Europa LeagueA UEFA Europa League JuventusOur prob 48%Best odds 2.19 +15% 60% 44% A 2.19
Dinamo Zagreb vs AnderlechtUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League Dinamo ZagrebOur prob 44%Best odds 2.09 -11% 36% 47% C 2.09
Ferencvarosi TC vs PlzenUEFA Europa LeagueC UEFA Europa League Ferencvarosi TCOur prob 52%Best odds 2.00 +15% 63% 49% C 2.00
Brighton vs Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB UEFA Europa Conference League BrightonOur prob 81%Best odds 1.03 -48% 45% 93% B 1.03
Freiburg vs FK JablonecUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB UEFA Europa Conference League FreiburgOur prob 68%Best odds 1.30 -21% 53% 74% B 1.30
Heart Of Midlothian vs FC NordsjaellandUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League FC NordsjaellandOur prob 42%Best odds 2.20 -10% 34% 44% C 2.20
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FCUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League BrannOur prob 76%Best odds 1.17 -22% 60% 82% C 1.17
FC Copenhagen vs SC BragaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League FC CopenhagenOur prob 45%Best odds 2.57 +25% 64% 38% C 2.57
Twente vs FC ThunUEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League TwenteOur prob 79%Best odds 1.23 +3% 81% 78% C 1.23
Atalanta vs PafosUEFA Europa Conference LeagueB UEFA Europa Conference League AtalantaOur prob 60%Best odds 1.37 -42% 28% 70% B 1.37
St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999UEFA Europa Conference LeagueC UEFA Europa Conference League St. TruidenOur prob 70%Best odds 1.33 -12% 61% 73% C 1.33
Cobán Imperial vs MunicipalGuatemala Liga NacionalC Guatemala Liga Nacional MunicipalOur prob 38%Best odds 2.50 -2% 36% 38% C 2.50
Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional ArgentinaC Liga Profesional Argentina HuracanOur prob 39%Best odds 2.51 +4% 43% 38% C 2.51
CD Marathon vs OlanchoHonduras Liga NacionalC Honduras Liga Nacional CD MarathonOur prob 48% — 48% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Competitions in our window

71 upcoming fixtures across 17 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page

All competitions
  • Major League Soccer USA 9 fixtures
  • CONMEBOL Libertadores World 1 fixture
  • Guatemala Liga Nacional Guatemala 4 fixtures
  • Costa Rica Primera División Costa Rica 1 fixture
  • Kosovo Superliga Kosovo 1 fixture
  • Uganda Premier League Uganda 3 fixtures
  • Zambia Super League Zambia 3 fixtures
  • Saudi Arabia Pro League Saudi Arabia 4 fixtures
  • Virsliga Latvia 1 fixture
  • 1. Lig Turkey 3 fixtures
  • Meistriliiga Estonia 1 fixture
  • I Liga Poland 1 fixture
  • UEFA Europa League World 18 fixtures
  • UEFA Europa Conference League World 18 fixtures
  • League One England 1 fixture
  • Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 1 fixture
  • Honduras Liga Nacional Honduras 1 fixture