Updated

9 October 2026

Football predictions today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Top pick today

Lens vs Lyon

Ligue 1 ·

Our pick
Lens to win
Model prob.
49%
Market prob.
37%
Edge
+12%
Best odds
2.66
View analysis Bet Now
Matches today 32 across 22 competitions
Competitions 22 with fixtures today
Value picks 12 model edge ≥ 2%
High confidence 3 both teams xG-backed
Average edge +7.9% across value picks

Top opportunities

Largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live

All value bets
High edgeC

Avellino to win

Avellino vs Sampdoria · Italy Serie B ·

Edge+16% Our prob39% Best odds2.81
Full prediction
High edgeC

First Vienna to win

First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten · 2. Liga ·

Edge+12% Our prob49% Best odds2.07
Full prediction
High edgeC

Cardiff MET to win

Cardiff MET vs Trefelin · Wales Premier League ·

Edge+11% Our prob70% Best odds1.38
Full prediction

Match explorer

120 fixtures today, 88 already played — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures today with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder BremenBundesligaA Bundesliga Borussia DortmundOur prob 70%Best odds 1.40 -2% 69% 71% A 1.40
Raków Częstochowa vs GKS KatowiceEkstraklasaC Ekstraklasa Raków CzęstochowaOur prob 44%Best odds 2.09 -8% 38% 46% C 2.09
Avellino vs SampdoriaItaly Serie BC Italy Serie B AvellinoOur prob 39%Best odds 2.81 +16% 51% 35% C 2.81
First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten2. LigaC 2. Liga First ViennaOur prob 49%Best odds 2.07 +12% 58% 46% C 2.07
Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń SiedlceI LigaC I Liga PodbeskidzieOur prob 46%Best odds 1.90 -18% 33% 51% C 1.90
Lens vs LyonLigue 1A Ligue 1 LensOur prob 40%Best odds 2.66 +12% 49% 37% A 2.66
SK Beveren vs Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro LeagueC Jupiler Pro League SK BeverenOur prob 52%Best odds 1.83 -7% 47% 53% C 1.83
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.Premier DivisionC Premier Division St Patrick's Athl.Our prob 43%Best odds 2.32 +10% 51% 41% C 2.32
Waterford vs Galway UnitedPremier DivisionC Premier Division WaterfordOur prob 47%Best odds 2.12 +7% 52% 45% C 2.12
Shelbourne vs Sligo RoversPremier DivisionC Premier Division ShelbourneOur prob 70%Best odds 1.32 -10% 63% 73% C 1.32
Cardiff MET vs TrefelinWales Premier LeagueC Wales Premier League Cardiff METOur prob 70%Best odds 1.38 +11% 79% 68% C 1.38
Llandudno vs Airbus UKWales Premier LeagueC Wales Premier League LlandudnoOur prob 41%Best odds 2.15 -13% 32% 45% C 2.15
Penybont vs Barry TownWales Premier LeagueC Wales Premier League PenybontOur prob 52%Best odds 1.83 +3% 54% 51% C 1.83
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caernarfon TownWales Premier LeagueC Wales Premier League Caernarfon TownOur prob 57%Best odds 1.67 +4% 60% 57% C 1.67
Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FCWales Premier LeagueC Wales Premier League GAP Connah S Quay FCOur prob 62%Best odds 1.53 +3% 64% 61% C 1.53
Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFCWales Premier LeagueC Wales Premier League Cambrian & ClydachOur prob 65%Best odds 1.40 -6% 61% 67% C 1.40
Holywell vs The New SaintsWales Premier LeagueC Wales Premier League The New SaintsOur prob 92%Best odds 1.03 +3% 94% 91% C 1.03
Portadown vs GlentoranNorthern Ireland PremiershipC Northern Ireland Premiership GlentoranOur prob 57%Best odds 1.59 -6% 53% 59% C 1.59
Malaga vs EspanyolLa LigaA La Liga EspanyolOur prob 35%Best odds 2.75 -9% 28% 37% A 2.75
San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real TomayapoBolivia Primera DivisiónC Bolivia Primera División San Antonio Bulo BuloOur prob 50%Best odds 1.80 -8% 44% 52% C 1.80
West Ham vs QPREngland ChampionshipC England Championship West HamOur prob 64%Best odds 1.50 -3% 63% 65% C 1.50
MC Alger vs TémouchentAlgeria Ligue 1C Algeria Ligue 1 MC AlgerOur prob 74%Best odds 1.22 -6% 70% 76% C 1.22
SC Braga vs Sporting CPPrimeira LigaC Primeira Liga Sporting CPOur prob 39%Best odds 2.47 -5% 35% 40% C 2.47
Atletico Torque vs DanubioUruguay Primera DivisiónC Uruguay Primera División Atletico TorqueOur prob 51%Best odds 1.93 +7% 56% 50% C 1.93
Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SCLiga ProC Liga Pro Delfin SCOur prob 40%Best odds 2.23 -10% 33% 43% C 2.23
Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional ArgentinaC Liga Profesional Argentina Gimnasia L.P.Our prob 47%Best odds 1.95 -9% 40% 49% C 1.95
Platense FC vs JuticalpaHonduras Liga NacionalC Honduras Liga Nacional Platense FCOur prob 47%Best odds 1.91 -10% 39% 49% C 1.91
Instituto Cordoba vs Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional ArgentinaC Liga Profesional Argentina Boca JuniorsOur prob 35%Best odds 2.77 -2% 34% 36% C 2.77
Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas DoradasPrimera AC Primera A Alianza ValleduparOur prob 37%Best odds 2.55 -1% 37% 38% C 2.55
Tapatío vs CA La PazLiga de Expansión MXC Liga de Expansión MX CA La PazOur prob 39%Best odds 2.35 -8% 33% 41% C 2.35
Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool MontevideoUruguay Primera DivisiónC Uruguay Primera División Deportivo MaldonadoOur prob 40%Best odds 2.49 +7% 45% 38% C 2.49
Lexington vs FC TulsaUSL ChampionshipC USL Championship LexingtonOur prob 54%Best odds 1.74 0% 54% 54% C 1.74
1-0 FTPalmeiras vs BahiaBrazil Serie AC Brazil Serie A PalmeirasOur prob 58%Best odds 1.67 -2% 57% 59% C 1.67
4-0 FTFluminense vs CoritibaBrazil Serie AC Brazil Serie A FluminenseOur prob 66%Best odds 1.52 +8% 72% 64% C 1.52
1-1 FTAntigua GFC vs MunicipalGuatemala Liga NacionalC Guatemala Liga Nacional MunicipalOur prob 38%Best odds 2.65 +10% 45% 35% C 2.65
2-1 FTAlebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UatLiga de Expansión MXC Liga de Expansión MX Correcaminos UatOur prob 49%Best odds 1.85 -12% 40% 52% C 1.85
1-1 FTFortaleza FC vs MillonariosPrimera AC Primera A MillonariosOur prob 42% — 42% — C —
2-1 FTFAS vs AlianzaPrimera DivisionC Primera Division FASOur prob 55%Best odds 1.73 +1% 56% 55% C 1.73
2-1 FTDaejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1C K League 1 Daejeon CitizenOur prob 43%Best odds 2.30 +6% 48% 42% C 2.30
2-0 FTGangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995K League 1C K League 1 Gangwon FCOur prob 51%Best odds 1.83 -8% 45% 53% C 1.83
3-0 FTIncheon United vs Pohang SteelersK League 1C K League 1 Incheon UnitedOur prob 41%Best odds 2.34 -2% 39% 41% C 2.34
2-2 FTMetal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya MykolaivkaPersha LigaC Persha Liga DrawOur prob 36% — 36% — C —
2-0 FTKashima vs Gamba OsakaJ1 LeagueC J1 League KashimaOur prob 51%Best odds 1.94 -12% 43% 54% C 1.94
4-2 FTKashiwa Reysol vs Vissel KobeJ1 LeagueC J1 League Kashiwa ReysolOur prob 38%Best odds 2.45 -6% 34% 40% C 2.45
1-2 FTFountain Gate vs JKT TanzaniaTanzania Premier LeagueC Tanzania Premier League JKT TanzaniaOur prob 36%Best odds 2.55 -5% 32% 37% C 2.55
2-2 FTSichuan Jiuniu vs Henan JianyeChina Super LeagueC China Super League Henan JianyeOur prob 38%Best odds 2.42 -8% 33% 40% C 2.42
0-3 FTQingdao Jonoon vs Beijing GuoanChina Super LeagueC China Super League Beijing GuoanOur prob 68%Best odds 1.41 +3% 70% 67% C 1.41
0-2 FTAraz vs KapazPremyer LiqaC Premyer Liqa ArazOur prob 41%Best odds 2.18 -4% 38% 42% C 2.18
2-4 FTHangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPGChina Super LeagueC China Super League Hangzhou GreentownOur prob 40%Best odds 2.60 +10% 48% 38% C 2.60
0-1 FTLlapi vs BallkaniKosovo SuperligaC Kosovo Superliga BallkaniOur prob 45%Best odds 2.10 +1% 46% 45% C 2.10
0-3 FTVeres Rivne vs Shakhtar DonetskUkraine Premier LeagueC Ukraine Premier League Shakhtar DonetskOur prob 69%Best odds 1.30 -15% 58% 73% C 1.30
1-3 FTMbeya City vs Kagera SugarTanzania Premier LeagueC Tanzania Premier League Mbeya CityOur prob 57%Best odds 1.80 +14% 67% 53% C 1.80
0-5 FTAl Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FCSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC Saudi Arabia Pro League Al-Qadisiyah FCOur prob 61%Best odds 1.55 -3% 58% 61% C 1.55
4-1 FTSivasspor vs Pendikspor1. LigC 1. Lig SivassporOur prob 40%Best odds 2.46 +4% 42% 39% C 2.46
0-2 FTBodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü1. LigC 1. Lig KeçiörengücüOur prob 36%Best odds 2.46 -7% 31% 38% C 2.46
3-0 FTEntebbe UPPC vs PoliceUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League Entebbe UPPCOur prob 42%Best odds 2.25 +4% 45% 41% C 2.25
0-3 FTQatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SCStars LeagueC Stars League Al-Rayyan SCOur prob 62%Best odds 1.52 0% 62% 62% C 1.52
0-4 FTAl-Fateh vs Al-Ahli JeddahSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC Saudi Arabia Pro League Al-Ahli JeddahOur prob 65%Best odds 1.47 -2% 64% 66% C 1.47
3-2 FTCorvinul Hunedoara vs FC VoluntariLiga IC Liga I Corvinul HunedoaraOur prob 58%Best odds 1.68 +6% 62% 56% C 1.68
0-2 FTSlavia Praha II vs VlašimFNLC FNL Slavia Praha IIOur prob 42%Best odds 2.25 +2% 44% 42% C 2.25
1-0 FTSJK vs LahtiVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga LahtiOur prob 38%Best odds 2.49 -4% 35% 39% C 2.49
0-0 FTNeftchi Baku vs Sabah FAPremyer LiqaC Premyer Liqa Sabah FAOur prob 37%Best odds 2.45 -4% 35% 38% C 2.45
3-0 FTWieczysta Kraków vs Wisla PlockEkstraklasaC Ekstraklasa Wieczysta KrakówOur prob 44%Best odds 2.21 +3% 46% 43% C 2.21
0-1 FTZlin vs Slavia PrahaCzech LigaC Czech Liga Slavia PrahaOur prob 74%Best odds 1.29 +4% 77% 74% C 1.29
1-2 FTHNK Gorica vs RudesHNLC HNL HNK GoricaOur prob 56%Best odds 1.63 -7% 50% 58% C 1.63
0-3 FTKarmiotissa vs Omonia NicosiaCyprus 1. DivisionC Cyprus 1. Division Omonia NicosiaOur prob 73%Best odds 1.20 -23% 56% 79% C 1.20
0-0 FTVelež vs Siroki BrijegPremijer LigaC Premijer Liga VeležOur prob 40%Best odds 2.12 -11% 32% 43% C 2.12
1-2 FTVejle vs HvidovreDenmark 1. DivisionC Denmark 1. Division VejleOur prob 53%Best odds 1.72 -8% 47% 55% C 1.72
0-1 FTTáborsko vs KarvináFNLC FNL KarvináOur prob 43%Best odds 2.17 -1% 42% 43% C 2.17
2-2 FTVysočina Jihlava vs ProstějovFNLC FNL Vysočina JihlavaOur prob 56%Best odds 1.70 +1% 57% 55% C 1.70
2-3 FTÚstí nad Labem vs OpavaFNLC FNL Ústí nad LabemOur prob 50%Best odds 2.03 +14% 60% 47% C 2.03
0-1 FTDrita vs MalishevaKosovo SuperligaC Kosovo Superliga MalishevaOur prob 37%Best odds 2.65 +3% 39% 36% C 2.65
4-2 FTKatsina United vs EnyimbaNigeria Premier Football LeagueC Nigeria Premier Football League Katsina UnitedOur prob 55%Best odds 1.72 -3% 52% 56% C 1.72
1-1 FTDodoma Jiji vs Singida Black StarsTanzania Premier LeagueC Tanzania Premier League Singida Black StarsOur prob 45%Best odds 2.20 +10% 53% 42% C 2.20
0-0 FTFC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. BundesligaC 2. Bundesliga FC HeidenheimOur prob 48%Best odds 1.95 -12% 38% 51% C 1.95
1-0 FTEintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel2. BundesligaC 2. Bundesliga Holstein KielOur prob 39%Best odds 2.49 -1% 39% 39% C 2.49
0-1 FTSV Kapfenberg vs Austria Vienna (Am)2. LigaC 2. Liga Austria Vienna (Am)Our prob 43%Best odds 2.27 +3% 45% 42% C 2.27
1-1 FTSKU Amstetten vs FC BW Linz2. LigaC 2. Liga FC BW LinzOur prob 45%Best odds 2.23 +11% 53% 43% C 2.23
1-0 FTJS Kabylie vs ASO ChlefAlgeria Ligue 1C Algeria Ligue 1 JS KabylieOur prob 64%Best odds 1.48 +8% 70% 62% C 1.48
3-1 FTGalatasaray vs KasımpaşaSüper LigC Süper Lig GalatasarayOur prob 66%Best odds 1.33 -33% 41% 74% C 1.33
0-0 FTFC Nordsjaelland vs OdenseDenmark SuperligaC Denmark Superliga FC NordsjaellandOur prob 62%Best odds 1.54 0% 62% 62% C 1.54
0-2 FTBrann vs VikingEliteserienC Eliteserien VikingOur prob 48%Best odds 1.96 -5% 44% 49% C 1.96
1-0 FTIFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskanC Allsvenskan IFK GoteborgOur prob 52%Best odds 1.76 -6% 48% 54% C 1.76
2-3 FTAl Sadd vs Al-Arabi SCStars LeagueC Stars League Al SaddOur prob 60%Best odds 1.65 +1% 61% 60% C 1.65
3-3 FTPreußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen3. LigaC 3. Liga Rot-Weiß EssenOur prob 48%Best odds 2.00 -1% 47% 48% C 2.00
1-2 FTPenafiel vs AVSSegunda LigaC Segunda Liga PenafielOur prob 48%Best odds 1.98 -2% 46% 49% C 1.98
1-1 FTÜmraniyespor vs Sarıyer1. LigC 1. Lig ÜmraniyesporOur prob 35%Best odds 2.56 -8% 29% 37% C 2.56
0-2 FTVanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor1. LigC 1. Lig BandırmasporOur prob 44%Best odds 2.30 +14% 54% 40% C 2.30
2-0 FTAB Copenhagen vs Aarhus FremadDenmark 1. DivisionC Denmark 1. Division AB CopenhagenOur prob 43%Best odds 2.13 -5% 39% 44% C 2.13
0-1 FTURA vs KCCAUganda Premier LeagueC Uganda Premier League KCCAOur prob 36%Best odds 2.55 -1% 35% 36% C 2.55
1-3 FTAldosivi vs Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional ArgentinaC Liga Profesional Argentina AldosiviOur prob 38%Best odds 2.62 +6% 43% 37% C 2.62
3-0 FTNeuchatel Xamax FC vs FC WinterthurChallenge LeagueC Challenge League FC WinterthurOur prob 48%Best odds 2.12 +11% 56% 45% C 2.12
0-3 FTRapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge LeagueC Challenge League Stade Lausanne-OuchyOur prob 53%Best odds 1.85 +6% 57% 52% C 1.85
1-1 FTSC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900Challenge LeagueC Challenge League SC KriensOur prob 42%Best odds 2.55 +15% 53% 38% C 2.55
0-1 FTMoreirense vs GIL VicentePrimeira LigaC Primeira Liga GIL VicenteOur prob 40%Best odds 2.31 -8% 34% 42% C 2.31
2-0 FTPSV Eindhoven vs HeerenveenEredivisieC Eredivisie PSV EindhovenOur prob 69%Best odds 1.39 -6% 65% 71% C 1.39
0-2 FTSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo BucurestiLiga IC Liga I Dinamo BucurestiOur prob 58%Best odds 1.58 -8% 53% 60% C 1.58
3-0 FTAl-Nassr vs Al DiriyahSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC Saudi Arabia Pro League Al-NassrOur prob 63%Best odds 1.42 -19% 49% 68% C 1.42
2-2 FTMosta vs BirzebbugaMalta Premier LeagueC Malta Premier League MostaOur prob 41%Best odds 3.00 +39% 70% 31% C 3.00
2-0 FTMontpellier vs GrenobleLigue 2C Ligue 2 MontpellierOur prob 54%Best odds 1.65 -18% 41% 59% C 1.65
1-0 FTNancy vs GuingampLigue 2C Ligue 2 NancyOur prob 49%Best odds 1.96 0% 50% 49% C 1.96
1-1 FTSochaux vs BoulogneLigue 2C Ligue 2 SochauxOur prob 43%Best odds 2.42 +9% 49% 41% C 2.42
3-2 FTPAU vs LavalLigue 2C Ligue 2 PAUOur prob 44%Best odds 2.12 -6% 40% 46% C 2.12
0-1 FTDunkerque vs AnnecyLigue 2C Ligue 2 DunkerqueOur prob 39%Best odds 2.30 -13% 29% 42% C 2.30
2-1 FTDe Graafschap vs Jong UtrechtEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie De GraafschapOur prob 52%Best odds 1.63 -20% 37% 57% C 1.63
1-0 FTNAC Breda vs MVVEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie NAC BredaOur prob 71%Best odds 1.31 -6% 66% 72% C 1.31
3-0 FTHeracles vs WaalwijkEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie HeraclesOur prob 60%Best odds 1.48 -17% 47% 64% C 1.48
0-3 FTDordrecht vs EmmenEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie EmmenOur prob 44%Best odds 2.23 +5% 48% 43% C 2.23
1-1 FTRoda vs Jong PSV U21Eerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie RodaOur prob 53%Best odds 1.75 -8% 47% 55% C 1.75
2-0 FTFC Volendam vs VitesseEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie FC VolendamOur prob 39%Best odds 2.43 0% 39% 39% C 2.43
0-1 FTJong AZ vs Den BoschEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie Jong AZOur prob 53%Best odds 1.96 +16% 66% 49% C 1.96
3-0 FTAlmere City FC vs FC EindhovenEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie Almere City FCOur prob 68%Best odds 1.42 +2% 70% 67% C 1.42
3-1 FTFC OSS vs Helmond SportEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie FC OSSOur prob 45%Best odds 2.25 +9% 52% 43% C 2.25
0-3 FTJong Ajax vs VVV VenloEerste DivisieC Eerste Divisie VVV VenloOur prob 49%Best odds 2.22 +22% 65% 43% C 2.22
3-0 FTDender vs Club Brugge IIChallenger Pro LeagueC Challenger Pro League DenderOur prob 61%Best odds 1.46 -14% 51% 65% C 1.46
0-2 FTRSC Anderlecht II vs AS EupenChallenger Pro LeagueC Challenger Pro League AS EupenOur prob 53%Best odds 1.94 +14% 64% 50% C 1.94
3-0 FTLibertad vs Leones del NorteLiga ProC Liga Pro LibertadOur prob 41%Best odds 2.54 +11% 49% 38% C 2.54
0-2 FTCoastal Union vs AzamTanzania Premier LeagueC Tanzania Premier League AzamOur prob 42% — 42% — C —
2-1 FTStade Nyonnais vs FC AarauChallenge LeagueC Challenge League FC AarauOur prob 63%Best odds 1.52 0% 63% 63% C 1.52
0-2 FTÉtoile Carouge vs Yverdon SportChallenge LeagueC Challenge League Yverdon SportOur prob 50%Best odds 2.02 +5% 54% 49% C 2.02

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Competitions in our window

32 upcoming fixtures across 22 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page

All competitions
  • Bundesliga Germany 1 fixture
  • Ekstraklasa Poland 1 fixture
  • Italy Serie B Italy 1 fixture
  • 2. Liga Austria 1 fixture
  • I Liga Poland 1 fixture
  • Ligue 1 France 1 fixture
  • Jupiler Pro League Belgium 1 fixture
  • Premier Division Ireland 3 fixtures
  • Wales Premier League Wales 7 fixtures
  • Northern Ireland Premiership Northern Ireland 1 fixture
  • La Liga Spain 1 fixture
  • Bolivia Primera División Bolivia 1 fixture
  • England Championship England 1 fixture
  • Algeria Ligue 1 Algeria 1 fixture
  • Primeira Liga Portugal 1 fixture
  • Uruguay Primera División Uruguay 2 fixtures
  • Liga Pro Ecuador 1 fixture
  • Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 2 fixtures
  • Honduras Liga Nacional Honduras 1 fixture
  • Primera A Colombia 1 fixture
  • Liga de Expansión MX Mexico 1 fixture
  • USL Championship USA 1 fixture

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