Top pick today
Amorebieta
vs
UD Logroñés
- Our pick
- UD Logroñés to win
- Our prob.
- 48%
- Market prob.
- 45%
- Edge
- +4%
- Best odds
- 2.10
Updated
10 November 2026
Today's standout fixture is Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés in the Copa del Rey, where we publish a probability of 48% for UD Logroñés, slightly above the market's 45%, giving it an edge of +3.6 percentage points. While our model has identified two value picks today, neither shows a strong edge of 4 percentage points or more. Factors like team form and injuries could impact these predictions, making outcomes uncertain.
Top pick today
Largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
Metalul Buzău to win
11 fixtures today, 2 already played — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lagos vs Rivers UnitedNigeria Premier Football LeagueC | Nigeria Premier Football League | Sporting LagosOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — |
| Metalul Buzău vs CSA Steaua BucureştiLiga IIC | Liga II | Metalul BuzăuOur prob 50%Best odds 2.00 | +3% | 50% | 47% | C | 2.00 |
| Pamplona vs EibarCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | EibarOur prob 75%Best odds 1.20 | -5% | 75% | 80% | C | 1.20 |
| Anaitasuna vs AlavesCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | AlavesOur prob 77%Best odds 1.04 | -15% | 77% | 91% | B | 1.04 |
| Amorebieta vs UD LogroñésCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | UD LogroñésOur prob 48%Best odds 2.10 | +4% | 48% | 45% | C | 2.10 |
| Trival Valderas vs LeganesCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | LeganesOur prob 70%Best odds 1.15 | -12% | 70% | 83% | C | 1.15 |
| Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real JaénCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Real JaénOur prob 47%Best odds 1.92 | -2% | 47% | 49% | C | 1.92 |
| Tavernes vs ValenciaCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | ValenciaOur prob 81%Best odds 1.02 | -14% | 81% | 95% | B | 1.02 |
| Cacahuatique vs FirpoPrimera DivisionC | Primera Division | FirpoOur prob 50%Best odds 1.92 | +2% | 50% | 48% | C | 1.92 |
| 2-0 FTJunior vs CucutaPrimera AC | Primera A | JuniorOur prob 53%Best odds 1.75 | -2% | 53% | 55% | C | 1.75 |
| 1-1 FTAurora vs Universitario de VintoBolivia Primera DivisiónC | Bolivia Primera División | AuroraOur prob 57%Best odds 1.70 | +2% | 57% | 55% | C | 1.70 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
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| 2 | First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 | 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
9 upcoming fixtures across 4 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
What happened next to what we predicted