Top pick today
Sarmiento Junin
vs
Barracas Central
- Our pick
- Sarmiento Junin to win
- Model prob.
- 45%
- Market prob.
- 41%
- Edge
- +5%
- Best odds
- 2.38
Updated
19 October 2026
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Top pick today
57 fixtures today, 51 already played — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SCLiga ProC | Liga Pro | Mushuc Runa SCOur prob 49%Best odds 1.93 | +1% | 50% | 49% | C | 1.93 |
| Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | Newells Old BoysOur prob 50%Best odds 1.90 | 0% | 51% | 50% | C | 1.90 |
| Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas CentralLiga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | Sarmiento JuninOur prob 42%Best odds 2.38 | +5% | 45% | 41% | C | 2.38 |
| Goias vs Nautico RecifeBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | GoiasOur prob 53%Best odds 1.78 | -2% | 52% | 54% | C | 1.78 |
| Corinthians vs VitoriaBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | CorinthiansOur prob 54%Best odds 1.62 | -26% | 34% | 61% | C | 1.62 |
| Club Nacional vs Deportivo MaldonadoUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | Club NacionalOur prob 45%Best odds 1.91 | -19% | 31% | 50% | C | 1.91 |
| 1-1 FTMunicipal vs GuastatoyaGuatemala Liga NacionalC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | MunicipalOur prob 65%Best odds 1.42 | 0% | 65% | 65% | C | 1.42 |
| 2-1 FTMonterrey vs CF PachucaLiga MXC | Liga MX | MonterreyOur prob 53%Best odds 1.72 | -17% | 40% | 58% | C | 1.72 |
| 0-0 FTDeportivo Cali vs JuniorPrimera AC | Primera A | Deportivo CaliOur prob 54%Best odds 1.98 | +21% | 70% | 49% | C | 1.98 |
| 2-1 FTMarquense vs SuchitepéquezGuatemala Liga NacionalC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | MarquenseOur prob 66%Best odds 1.42 | +7% | 71% | 64% | C | 1.42 |
| 2-1 FTFC Kharkiv vs Livyi BerehUkraine Premier LeagueC | Ukraine Premier League | FC KharkivOur prob 58%Best odds 1.53 | -15% | 47% | 62% | C | 1.53 |
| 2-1 FTMara Sugar vs Mombasa EliteKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | Mara SugarOur prob 48%Best odds 1.78 | -18% | 34% | 52% | C | 1.78 |
| 1-1 FTNiki Volos vs PanioniosSuper League 2C | Super League 2 | Niki VolosOur prob 35%Best odds 2.46 | -15% | 24% | 39% | C | 2.46 |
| 0-1 FTBallkani vs PrishtinaKosovo SuperligaC | Kosovo Superliga | PrishtinaOur prob 46%Best odds 1.95 | -1% | 45% | 46% | C | 1.95 |
| 2-1 FTPAOK II vs Apollon PontouSuper League 2C | Super League 2 | PAOK IIOur prob 45%Best odds 1.98 | -11% | 37% | 48% | C | 1.98 |
| 2-3 FTPetrovac vs Otrant-OlympicMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | PetrovacOur prob 36%Best odds 2.32 | -13% | 26% | 39% | C | 2.32 |
| 1-1 FTBandari vs 3KKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | BandariOur prob 44%Best odds 1.82 | -22% | 28% | 50% | C | 1.82 |
| 0-2 FTEl Gouna FC vs Smouha SCEgypt Premier LeagueC | Egypt Premier League | Smouha SCOur prob 38%Best odds 2.32 | -14% | 27% | 42% | C | 2.32 |
| 1-2 FTFatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü1. LigC | 1. Lig | Fatih KaragümrükOur prob 36%Best odds 2.46 | -10% | 29% | 39% | C | 2.46 |
| 3-4 FTManisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor1. LigC | 1. Lig | Manisa F.K.Our prob 42%Best odds 2.36 | +10% | 50% | 40% | C | 2.36 |
| 2-2 FTUniversitatea Cluj vs Arges PitestiLiga IC | Liga I | Universitatea ClujOur prob 57%Best odds 1.78 | +7% | 62% | 55% | C | 1.78 |
| 2-1 FTBFC Daugavpils vs AudaVirsligaC | Virsliga | AudaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.16 | -13% | 29% | 43% | C | 2.16 |
| 0-0 FTPafos vs Apoel NicosiaCyprus 1. DivisionC | Cyprus 1. Division | PafosOur prob 50%Best odds 1.95 | +4% | 53% | 49% | C | 1.95 |
| 2-3 FTAl-Fayha vs Al-Ahli JeddahSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Ahli JeddahOur prob 70%Best odds 1.38 | — | 70% | — | C | 1.38 |
| 0-1 FTSuduva Marijampole vs Kauno ŽalgirisA LygaC | A Lyga | Kauno ŽalgirisOur prob 44%Best odds 1.94 | -14% | 34% | 48% | C | 1.94 |
| 2-0 FTRīgas FS vs TukumsVirsligaC | Virsliga | Rīgas FSOur prob 86%Best odds 1.10 | -1% | 85% | 86% | C | 1.10 |
| 2-2 FTOmonia Nicosia vs OlympiakosCyprus 1. DivisionC | Cyprus 1. Division | Omonia NicosiaOur prob 74%Best odds 1.27 | -1% | 73% | 74% | C | 1.27 |
| 4-0 FTSutjeska vs BokeljMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | SutjeskaOur prob 48%Best odds 1.75 | -24% | 30% | 54% | C | 1.75 |
| 2-0 FTNieciecza vs Puszcza NiepołomiceI LigaC | I Liga | NiecieczaOur prob 51%Best odds 1.83 | -4% | 48% | 52% | C | 1.83 |
| 1-1 FTDukagjini vs Drenica SkënderajKosovo SuperligaC | Kosovo Superliga | DukagjiniOur prob 52%Best odds 1.70 | -9% | 45% | 54% | C | 1.70 |
| 4-0 FTMonza vs CagliariSerie AB | Serie A | MonzaOur prob 42%Best odds 2.45 | +4% | 45% | 41% | B | 2.45 |
| 2-0 FTTrabzonspor vs BeşiktaşSüper LigC | Süper Lig | TrabzonsporOur prob 39%Best odds 2.58 | 0% | 39% | 39% | C | 2.58 |
| 1-2 FTViborg vs FC MidtjyllandDenmark SuperligaC | Denmark Superliga | FC MidtjyllandOur prob 42%Best odds 2.42 | +7% | 47% | 41% | C | 2.42 |
| 1-2 FTDegerfors IF vs Kalmar FFAllsvenskanC | Allsvenskan | Degerfors IFOur prob 36%Best odds 3.02 | +13% | 46% | 32% | C | 3.02 |
| 1-0 FTWisla Plock vs Radomiak RadomEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Wisla PlockOur prob 52%Best odds 1.90 | +6% | 56% | 50% | C | 1.90 |
| 1-1 FTAL Masry vs Abu Qair SemadEgypt Premier LeagueC | Egypt Premier League | AL MasryOur prob 58%Best odds 1.53 | -13% | 48% | 61% | C | 1.53 |
| 0-3 FTEnppi vs El MokawloonEgypt Premier LeagueC | Egypt Premier League | El MokawloonOur prob 38%Best odds 2.91 | +19% | 53% | 33% | C | 2.91 |
| 2-0 FTBursaspor vs Pendikspor1. LigC | 1. Lig | BursasporOur prob 66%Best odds 1.45 | +8% | 72% | 64% | C | 1.45 |
| 4-2 FTEsenler Erokspor vs Mardin 19691. LigC | 1. Lig | Esenler EroksporOur prob 40%Best odds 2.07 | -24% | 22% | 46% | C | 2.07 |
| 0-0 FTVarbergs BoIS FC vs HelsingborgSuperettanC | Superettan | Varbergs BoIS FCOur prob 52%Best odds 1.90 | +6% | 57% | 51% | C | 1.90 |
| 0-0 FTBeitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'alC | Ligat Ha'al | Maccabi Tel AvivOur prob 44%Best odds 2.13 | +1% | 45% | 44% | C | 2.13 |
| 1-2 FTFC Voluntari vs FCSBLiga IC | Liga I | FCSBOur prob 52%Best odds 1.60 | -32% | 28% | 60% | C | 1.60 |
| 1-0 FTAl-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-HazmSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Hilal Saudi FCOur prob 85%Best odds 1.09 | -10% | 78% | 88% | C | 1.09 |
| 2-2 FTAl Shabab vs Al-Faisaly FCSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al ShababOur prob 55%Best odds 1.65 | -15% | 44% | 59% | C | 1.65 |
| 0-1 FTJong PSV U21 vs DordrechtEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | Jong PSV U21Our prob 48%Best odds 2.19 | +15% | 60% | 44% | C | 2.19 |
| 2-1 FTJong Ajax vs De GraafschapEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | De GraafschapOur prob 41%Best odds 2.40 | +5% | 44% | 39% | C | 2.40 |
| 1-2 FTJong Utrecht vs RodaEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | RodaOur prob 48%Best odds 1.84 | -17% | 35% | 52% | C | 1.84 |
| 1-1 FTCelta de Vigo II vs TenerifeSegunda DivisiónC | Segunda División | Celta de Vigo IIOur prob 39%Best odds 2.76 | +11% | 47% | 36% | C | 2.76 |
| 0-0 FTSan Telmo vs Defensores De BelgranoPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | DrawOur prob 38%Best odds 2.63 | -13% | 29% | 42% | C | 2.63 |
| 0-3 FTParma Calcio 1913 vs TorinoSerie AA | Serie A | TorinoOur prob 42%Best odds 2.55 | +10% | 49% | 39% | A | 2.55 |
| 3-2 FTWaterford vs Galway UnitedPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | WaterfordOur prob 47%Best odds 1.98 | -3% | 45% | 48% | C | 1.98 |
| 0-3 FTRodez vs MontpellierLigue 2C | Ligue 2 | MontpellierOur prob 42%Best odds 2.44 | +7% | 47% | 40% | C | 2.44 |
| 1-1 FTGetafe vs Rayo VallecanoLa LigaA | La Liga | Rayo VallecanoOur prob 35%Best odds 2.70 | -7% | 30% | 36% | A | 2.70 |
| 3-1 FTTottenham vs CoventryPremier LeagueB | Premier League | TottenhamOur prob 58%Best odds 1.60 | -15% | 47% | 61% | B | 1.60 |
| 1-0 FTDerry City vs St Patrick's Athl.Premier DivisionC | Premier Division | St Patrick's Athl.Our prob 45%Best odds 2.18 | +5% | 49% | 44% | C | 2.18 |
| 1-2 FTSC Braga vs GIL VicentePrimeira LigaC | Primeira Liga | SC BragaOur prob 55%Best odds 1.57 | -26% | 35% | 61% | C | 1.57 |
| 2-4 FTFram Reykjavik vs IA AkranesÚrvalsdeildC | Úrvalsdeild | Fram ReykjavikOur prob 50%Best odds 1.84 | -6% | 45% | 51% | C | 1.84 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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6 upcoming fixtures across 5 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
What happened next to what we predicted