Top pick today
Parma Calcio 1913
vs
Torino
- Our pick
- Torino to win
- Model prob.
- 49%
- Market prob.
- 39%
- Edge
- +10%
- Best odds
- 2.55
Updated
19 October 2026
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Top pick today
Largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
Celta de Vigo II to win
Montpellier to win
Sarmiento Junin to win
57 fixtures today, 41 already played — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo II vs TenerifeSegunda DivisiónC | Segunda División | Celta de Vigo IIOur prob 39%Best odds 2.76 | +11% | 47% | 36% | C | 2.76 |
| San Telmo vs Defensores De BelgranoPrimera NacionalC | Primera Nacional | DrawOur prob 38%Best odds 2.63 | -13% | 29% | 42% | C | 2.63 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 vs TorinoSerie AA | Serie A | TorinoOur prob 42%Best odds 2.55 | +10% | 49% | 39% | A | 2.55 |
| Waterford vs Galway UnitedPremier DivisionC | Premier Division | WaterfordOur prob 47%Best odds 1.98 | -3% | 45% | 48% | C | 1.98 |
| Rodez vs MontpellierLigue 2C | Ligue 2 | MontpellierOur prob 42%Best odds 2.44 | +7% | 47% | 40% | C | 2.44 |
| Getafe vs Rayo VallecanoLa LigaA | La Liga | Rayo VallecanoOur prob 35%Best odds 2.70 | -7% | 30% | 36% | A | 2.70 |
| Tottenham vs CoventryPremier LeagueB | Premier League | TottenhamOur prob 58%Best odds 1.60 | -15% | 47% | 61% | B | 1.60 |
| Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.Premier DivisionC | Premier Division | St Patrick's Athl.Our prob 45%Best odds 2.18 | +5% | 49% | 44% | C | 2.18 |
| SC Braga vs GIL VicentePrimeira LigaC | Primeira Liga | SC BragaOur prob 55%Best odds 1.57 | -26% | 35% | 61% | C | 1.57 |
| Fram Reykjavik vs IA AkranesÚrvalsdeildC | Úrvalsdeild | Fram ReykjavikOur prob 50%Best odds 1.84 | -6% | 45% | 51% | C | 1.84 |
| Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SCLiga ProC | Liga Pro | Mushuc Runa SCOur prob 49%Best odds 1.93 | +1% | 50% | 49% | C | 1.93 |
| Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | Newells Old BoysOur prob 50%Best odds 1.90 | 0% | 51% | 50% | C | 1.90 |
| Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas CentralLiga Profesional ArgentinaC | Liga Profesional Argentina | Sarmiento JuninOur prob 42%Best odds 2.38 | +5% | 45% | 41% | C | 2.38 |
| Goias vs Nautico RecifeBrazil Serie BC | Brazil Serie B | GoiasOur prob 53%Best odds 1.78 | -2% | 52% | 54% | C | 1.78 |
| Corinthians vs VitoriaBrazil Serie AC | Brazil Serie A | CorinthiansOur prob 54%Best odds 1.62 | -26% | 34% | 61% | C | 1.62 |
| Club Nacional vs Deportivo MaldonadoUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | Club NacionalOur prob 45%Best odds 1.91 | -19% | 31% | 50% | C | 1.91 |
| 1-1 FTMunicipal vs GuastatoyaGuatemala Liga NacionalC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | MunicipalOur prob 65%Best odds 1.42 | 0% | 65% | 65% | C | 1.42 |
| 2-1 FTMonterrey vs CF PachucaLiga MXC | Liga MX | MonterreyOur prob 53%Best odds 1.72 | -17% | 40% | 58% | C | 1.72 |
| 0-0 FTDeportivo Cali vs JuniorPrimera AC | Primera A | Deportivo CaliOur prob 54%Best odds 1.98 | +21% | 70% | 49% | C | 1.98 |
| 2-1 FTMarquense vs SuchitepéquezGuatemala Liga NacionalC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | MarquenseOur prob 66%Best odds 1.42 | +7% | 71% | 64% | C | 1.42 |
| 2-1 FTFC Kharkiv vs Livyi BerehUkraine Premier LeagueC | Ukraine Premier League | FC KharkivOur prob 58%Best odds 1.53 | -15% | 47% | 62% | C | 1.53 |
| 2-1 FTMara Sugar vs Mombasa EliteKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | Mara SugarOur prob 48%Best odds 1.78 | -18% | 34% | 52% | C | 1.78 |
| 1-1 FTNiki Volos vs PanioniosSuper League 2C | Super League 2 | Niki VolosOur prob 35%Best odds 2.46 | -15% | 24% | 39% | C | 2.46 |
| 0-1 FTBallkani vs PrishtinaKosovo SuperligaC | Kosovo Superliga | PrishtinaOur prob 46%Best odds 1.95 | -1% | 45% | 46% | C | 1.95 |
| 2-1 FTPAOK II vs Apollon PontouSuper League 2C | Super League 2 | PAOK IIOur prob 45%Best odds 1.98 | -11% | 37% | 48% | C | 1.98 |
| 2-3 FTPetrovac vs Otrant-OlympicMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | PetrovacOur prob 36%Best odds 2.32 | -13% | 26% | 39% | C | 2.32 |
| 1-1 FTBandari vs 3KKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | BandariOur prob 44%Best odds 1.82 | -22% | 28% | 50% | C | 1.82 |
| 0-2 FTEl Gouna FC vs Smouha SCEgypt Premier LeagueC | Egypt Premier League | Smouha SCOur prob 38%Best odds 2.32 | -14% | 27% | 42% | C | 2.32 |
| 1-2 FTFatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü1. LigC | 1. Lig | Fatih KaragümrükOur prob 36%Best odds 2.46 | -10% | 29% | 39% | C | 2.46 |
| 3-4 FTManisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor1. LigC | 1. Lig | Manisa F.K.Our prob 42%Best odds 2.36 | +10% | 50% | 40% | C | 2.36 |
| 2-2 FTUniversitatea Cluj vs Arges PitestiLiga IC | Liga I | Universitatea ClujOur prob 57%Best odds 1.78 | +7% | 62% | 55% | C | 1.78 |
| 2-1 FTBFC Daugavpils vs AudaVirsligaC | Virsliga | AudaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.16 | -13% | 29% | 43% | C | 2.16 |
| 0-0 FTPafos vs Apoel NicosiaCyprus 1. DivisionC | Cyprus 1. Division | PafosOur prob 50%Best odds 1.95 | +4% | 53% | 49% | C | 1.95 |
| 2-3 FTAl-Fayha vs Al-Ahli JeddahSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Ahli JeddahOur prob 70%Best odds 1.38 | — | 70% | — | C | 1.38 |
| 0-1 FTSuduva Marijampole vs Kauno ŽalgirisA LygaC | A Lyga | Kauno ŽalgirisOur prob 44%Best odds 1.94 | -14% | 34% | 48% | C | 1.94 |
| 2-0 FTRīgas FS vs TukumsVirsligaC | Virsliga | Rīgas FSOur prob 86%Best odds 1.10 | -1% | 85% | 86% | C | 1.10 |
| 2-2 FTOmonia Nicosia vs OlympiakosCyprus 1. DivisionC | Cyprus 1. Division | Omonia NicosiaOur prob 74%Best odds 1.27 | -1% | 73% | 74% | C | 1.27 |
| 4-0 FTSutjeska vs BokeljMontenegro First LeagueC | Montenegro First League | SutjeskaOur prob 48%Best odds 1.75 | -24% | 30% | 54% | C | 1.75 |
| 2-0 FTNieciecza vs Puszcza NiepołomiceI LigaC | I Liga | NiecieczaOur prob 51%Best odds 1.83 | -4% | 48% | 52% | C | 1.83 |
| 1-1 FTDukagjini vs Drenica SkënderajKosovo SuperligaC | Kosovo Superliga | DukagjiniOur prob 52%Best odds 1.70 | -9% | 45% | 54% | C | 1.70 |
| 4-0 FTMonza vs CagliariSerie AB | Serie A | MonzaOur prob 42%Best odds 2.45 | +4% | 45% | 41% | B | 2.45 |
| 2-0 FTTrabzonspor vs BeşiktaşSüper LigC | Süper Lig | TrabzonsporOur prob 39%Best odds 2.58 | 0% | 39% | 39% | C | 2.58 |
| 1-2 FTViborg vs FC MidtjyllandDenmark SuperligaC | Denmark Superliga | FC MidtjyllandOur prob 42%Best odds 2.42 | +7% | 47% | 41% | C | 2.42 |
| 1-2 FTDegerfors IF vs Kalmar FFAllsvenskanC | Allsvenskan | Degerfors IFOur prob 36%Best odds 3.02 | +13% | 46% | 32% | C | 3.02 |
| 1-0 FTWisla Plock vs Radomiak RadomEkstraklasaC | Ekstraklasa | Wisla PlockOur prob 52%Best odds 1.90 | +6% | 56% | 50% | C | 1.90 |
| 1-1 FTAL Masry vs Abu Qair SemadEgypt Premier LeagueC | Egypt Premier League | AL MasryOur prob 58%Best odds 1.53 | -13% | 48% | 61% | C | 1.53 |
| 0-3 FTEnppi vs El MokawloonEgypt Premier LeagueC | Egypt Premier League | El MokawloonOur prob 38%Best odds 2.91 | +19% | 53% | 33% | C | 2.91 |
| 2-0 FTBursaspor vs Pendikspor1. LigC | 1. Lig | BursasporOur prob 66%Best odds 1.45 | +8% | 72% | 64% | C | 1.45 |
| 4-2 FTEsenler Erokspor vs Mardin 19691. LigC | 1. Lig | Esenler EroksporOur prob 40%Best odds 2.07 | -24% | 22% | 46% | C | 2.07 |
| 0-0 FTVarbergs BoIS FC vs HelsingborgSuperettanC | Superettan | Varbergs BoIS FCOur prob 52%Best odds 1.90 | +6% | 57% | 51% | C | 1.90 |
| 0-0 FTBeitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'alC | Ligat Ha'al | Maccabi Tel AvivOur prob 44%Best odds 2.13 | +1% | 45% | 44% | C | 2.13 |
| 1-2 FTFC Voluntari vs FCSBLiga IC | Liga I | FCSBOur prob 52%Best odds 1.60 | -32% | 28% | 60% | C | 1.60 |
| 1-0 FTAl-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-HazmSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Hilal Saudi FCOur prob 85%Best odds 1.09 | -10% | 78% | 88% | C | 1.09 |
| 2-2 FTAl Shabab vs Al-Faisaly FCSaudi Arabia Pro LeagueC | Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al ShababOur prob 55%Best odds 1.65 | -15% | 44% | 59% | C | 1.65 |
| 0-1 FTJong PSV U21 vs DordrechtEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | Jong PSV U21Our prob 48%Best odds 2.19 | +15% | 60% | 44% | C | 2.19 |
| 2-1 FTJong Ajax vs De GraafschapEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | De GraafschapOur prob 41%Best odds 2.40 | +5% | 44% | 39% | C | 2.40 |
| 1-2 FTJong Utrecht vs RodaEerste DivisieC | Eerste Divisie | RodaOur prob 48%Best odds 1.84 | -17% | 35% | 52% | C | 1.84 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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16 upcoming fixtures across 14 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
What happened next to what we predicted